学生時代にはxy軸にグラフとかね。2次方程式とかから始まってy=a(\x^{2}\)+bx+cとかでしたっけ? 更に(\x^{2}\)+(\y^{2}\)=(\r^{2}\)が円になるとかね。まあ、そんな遠い記憶から乗数を1未満にすると1以上とは逆のカーブでって事から
NumberOfLeaves: 351
NumberOfIterations: 3000
LearningRate: 0.01
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 127
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 80
FeatureFraction: 0.75
SubsampleFraction: 0.8
CustomGains: 0～500 = 0点, 501～1000は1乗に0～1000点
ってしてみてバグ発見(笑) "1乗"ではなく"0.8乗"です。これを試しに10回スタートしてそろそろ終わるけど、これはちょっと変化が大きいね。1回目から違う感じだが、まあ、4回目の
[Loop 4] NDCG@1 = 0.7819
[Loop 4] NDCG@3 = 0.7865
[Loop 4] NDCG@5 = 0.7995
[Loop 4] NDCG@10 = 0.8535
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 28.42% (85.41%) |
27.89% (83.57%) |
28.80% (86.37%) |
30.83% (98.17%) |
39.27% (90.82%) |
30.16% (87.89%) |
26.86% (84.10%) |
58.23% (79.45%) |
| 複勝 | 59.28% (85.95%) |
58.56% (84.54%) |
59.54% (87.07%) |
65.83% (90.42%) |
73.52% (93.01%) |
64.52% (86.53%) |
56.24% (85.12%) |
89.73% (83.28%) |
| 枠連 | 16.00% (83.71%) |
15.97% (90.06%) |
15.37% (76.25%) |
26.26% (111.92%) |
-- (--) |
17.68% (87.47%) |
14.42% (77.15%) |
31.38% (79.40%) |
| 馬連 | 12.71% (81.86%) |
12.91% (79.93%) |
12.03% (83.17%) |
19.17% (91.08%) |
25.57% (71.96%) |
14.96% (83.21%) |
10.80% (82.30%) |
25.59% (78.70%) |
| ワイド | 27.26% (87.12%) |
28.12% (85.18%) |
26.18% (89.95%) |
30.00% (75.67%) |
52.97% (88.58%) |
32.88% (88.65%) |
23.07% (86.48%) |
49.55% (80.80%) |
| 馬単 | 7.41% (80.18%) |
7.28% (72.72%) |
7.47% (87.32%) |
8.33% (87.08%) |
16.44% (82.33%) |
8.03% (75.33%) |
6.39% (81.60%) |
25.59% (74.89%) |
| 三連複 | 6.16% (66.10%) |
6.93% (56.44%) |
5.29% (75.84%) |
7.50% (68.33%) |
18.72% (70.27%) |
8.41% (67.79%) |
4.29% (65.16%) |
16.38% (73.08%) |
| 三連単 | 1.45% (37.15%) |
1.66% (41.71%) |
1.22% (29.93%) |
1.67% (72.08%) |
5.48% (58.22%) |
2.22% (53.20%) |
0.82% (29.90%) |
16.38% (68.06%) |
| 総合 | 60.49% (75.83%) |
59.98% (73.93%) |
60.51% (76.99%) |
67.50% (86.28%) |
78.08% (79.32%) |
65.14% (78.76%) |
57.35% (73.98%) |
90.04% (73.00%) |
[Loop 5] NDCG@1 = 0.7822
[Loop 5] NDCG@3 = 0.7863
[Loop 5] NDCG@5 = 0.7996
[Loop 5] NDCG@10 = 0.8534
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.73% (81.01%) |
27.18% (81.66%) |
28.07% (79.64%) |
30.83% (90.50%) |
38.81% (90.96%) |
28.43% (78.83%) |
26.49% (80.84%) |
57.92% (77.09%) |
| 複勝 | 59.25% (85.32%) |
59.21% (85.10%) |
58.81% (85.36%) |
65.83% (87.92%) |
70.78% (88.86%) |
64.15% (84.67%) |
56.57% (85.22%) |
89.55% (82.64%) |
| 枠連 | 16.16% (81.36%) |
15.90% (84.53%) |
15.57% (74.19%) |
29.29% (150.20%) |
-- (--) |
18.42% (85.11%) |
14.38% (74.95%) |
31.31% (76.12%) |
| 馬連 | 12.56% (76.79%) |
12.49% (71.81%) |
11.91% (77.87%) |
22.50% (132.08%) |
24.20% (73.93%) |
15.33% (80.77%) |
10.59% (75.73%) |
25.56% (69.53%) |
| ワイド | 26.74% (83.43%) |
27.59% (82.44%) |
25.15% (82.52%) |
36.67% (109.83%) |
49.77% (82.88%) |
32.51% (86.50%) |
22.74% (82.45%) |
49.46% (77.66%) |
| 馬単 | 7.03% (73.50%) |
6.22% (59.46%) |
7.59% (82.81%) |
10.83% (143.33%) |
14.16% (71.51%) |
7.66% (73.60%) |
6.18% (73.65%) |
25.56% (66.74%) |
| 三連複 | 6.16% (63.42%) |
7.16% (64.51%) |
5.04% (62.15%) |
7.50% (65.58%) |
17.35% (61.14%) |
8.78% (66.59%) |
4.29% (62.57%) |
16.64% (73.31%) |
| 三連単 | 1.33% (42.73%) |
1.24% (28.71%) |
1.46% (45.60%) |
0.83% (200.75%) |
4.11% (44.02%) |
1.85% (65.24%) |
0.91% (35.11%) |
16.64% (67.20%) |
| 総合 | 60.67% (73.34%) |
60.69% (69.46%) |
60.21% (73.77%) |
66.67% (121.91%) |
75.80% (73.33%) |
64.77% (77.66%) |
57.93% (71.31%) |
89.90% (70.47%) |
う～ん、それでもワイドが伸びないなぁ^^; バグは修正して
NumberOfLeaves: 351
NumberOfIterations: 3000
LearningRate: 0.01
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 127
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 80
FeatureFraction: 0.75
SubsampleFraction: 0.8
CustomGains: 0～500 = 0点, 501～1000は0.70乗に0～1000点
今度はこれを10回スタート。5回目に
[Loop 5] NDCG@1 = 0.7828
[Loop 5] NDCG@3 = 0.7869
[Loop 5] NDCG@5 = 0.8004
[Loop 5] NDCG@10 = 0.8543
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.12% (79.02%) |
27.00% (80.12%) |
27.22% (77.20%) |
27.50% (88.42%) |
39.27% (89.00%) |
29.05% (84.08%) |
25.38% (76.43%) |
58.09% (79.14%) |
| 複勝 | 58.81% (84.22%) |
57.90% (82.49%) |
59.42% (85.74%) |
63.33% (87.92%) |
73.06% (89.95%) |
64.15% (84.91%) |
55.75% (83.48%) |
90.19% (83.50%) |
| 枠連 | 15.25% (79.29%) |
15.68% (86.73%) |
14.17% (70.78%) |
26.26% (108.69%) |
-- (--) |
16.81% (79.81%) |
13.76% (74.08%) |
31.44% (80.39%) |
| 馬連 | 11.92% (76.18%) |
12.31% (76.97%) |
10.94% (73.81%) |
20.00% (97.58%) |
22.37% (59.32%) |
13.84% (75.34%) |
10.34% (77.98%) |
25.67% (72.74%) |
| ワイド | 26.45% (80.93%) |
27.24% (79.52%) |
25.03% (81.66%) |
35.00% (90.83%) |
49.77% (81.96%) |
31.89% (83.82%) |
22.54% (79.88%) |
49.67% (77.58%) |
| 馬単 | 6.34% (67.70%) |
6.34% (66.03%) |
6.20% (68.14%) |
8.33% (85.00%) |
12.33% (52.56%) |
7.29% (73.36%) |
5.48% (67.17%) |
25.67% (69.99%) |
| 三連複 | 5.90% (54.91%) |
6.81% (52.42%) |
4.92% (57.07%) |
6.67% (60.42%) |
19.18% (63.47%) |
7.79% (57.17%) |
4.08% (53.39%) |
16.73% (75.41%) |
| 三連単 | 1.01% (29.00%) |
1.24% (40.41%) |
0.85% (19.40%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
3.20% (35.07%) |
1.11% (22.10%) |
0.78% (30.75%) |
16.73% (68.68%) |
| 総合 | 60.00% (68.76%) |
59.21% (70.24%) |
60.45% (66.70%) |
65.00% (76.66%) |
77.17% (67.33%) |
64.89% (70.07%) |
56.82% (67.90%) |
90.54% (72.36%) |
これも伸びが無い。決断は早めにって事で8回しかやってないけど中断。
NumberOfLeaves: 351
NumberOfIterations: 3000
LearningRate: 0.01
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 127
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 80
FeatureFraction: 0.75
SubsampleFraction: 0.8
CustomGains: 0～500 = 0点, 501～1000は0.85乗に0～1000点
0.7は行き過ぎって事で、これで10回スタート。でまあ、数値的には9回目
[Loop 9] NDCG@1 = 0.7835
[Loop 9] NDCG@3 = 0.7867
[Loop 9] NDCG@5 = 0.8003
[Loop 9] NDCG@10 = 0.8541
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.87% (82.99%) |
26.82% (79.03%) |
28.98% (86.70%) |
27.50% (87.83%) |
40.64% (96.35%) |
29.05% (85.06%) |
26.33% (81.10%) |
58.26% (78.77%) |
| 複勝 | 59.33% (85.68%) |
58.50% (83.72%) |
60.09% (87.90%) |
60.83% (82.92%) |
71.69% (88.63%) |
63.78% (85.20%) |
56.74% (85.58%) |
89.84% (83.05%) |
| 枠連 | 15.61% (80.53%) |
15.68% (86.85%) |
15.12% (74.14%) |
22.22% (92.32%) |
-- (--) |
17.55% (80.51%) |
13.97% (75.43%) |
31.54% (78.69%) |
| 馬連 | 12.04% (76.72%) |
12.26% (76.44%) |
11.48% (77.08%) |
16.67% (75.92%) |
22.37% (56.94%) |
14.83% (78.05%) |
10.18% (78.07%) |
25.50% (77.86%) |
| ワイド | 26.40% (81.79%) |
27.18% (79.38%) |
25.33% (84.67%) |
30.00% (76.17%) |
50.23% (83.38%) |
31.89% (82.98%) |
22.41% (81.25%) |
49.03% (81.39%) |
| 馬単 | 6.48% (70.96%) |
6.39% (70.33%) |
6.50% (71.14%) |
7.50% (77.42%) |
12.79% (53.61%) |
7.66% (75.30%) |
5.52% (71.08%) |
25.50% (75.00%) |
| 三連複 | 6.40% (77.60%) |
7.64% (80.32%) |
4.92% (73.63%) |
9.17% (93.83%) |
18.26% (68.26%) |
9.15% (70.33%) |
4.41% (80.87%) |
16.30% (81.65%) |
| 三連単 | 1.30% (66.14%) |
1.48% (87.60%) |
1.09% (33.15%) |
1.67% (216.75%) |
4.57% (51.96%) |
2.22% (82.22%) |
0.70% (62.06%) |
16.30% (76.80%) |
| 総合 | 60.43% (77.77%) |
59.80% (80.32%) |
61.00% (73.55%) |
61.67% (100.58%) |
75.80% (71.30%) |
64.28% (79.96%) |
57.77% (76.93%) |
90.16% (77.93%) |
なんか結局ダメなので
NumberOfLeaves: 191
NumberOfIterations: 3000
LearningRate: 0.01
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 127
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 100
FeatureFraction: 0.75
SubsampleFraction: 0.8
CustomGains: 0～500 = 0点, 501～1000は0.85乗に0～1000点
Geminiがパラメーター抑えて学習深度変えるって事で、これ10回。
[Loop 7] NDCG@1 = 0.7829
[Loop 7] NDCG@3 = 0.7862
[Loop 7] NDCG@5 = 0.7999
[Loop 7] NDCG@10 = 0.8536
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.73% (81.32%) |
27.47% (81.23%) |
27.83% (79.92%) |
30.00% (101.83%) |
42.01% (106.30%) |
28.92% (83.34%) |
26.04% (78.39%) |
57.92% (78.66%) |
| 複勝 | 59.65% (85.89%) |
58.73% (83.71%) |
60.15% (87.61%) |
65.83% (93.08%) |
73.97% (93.15%) |
65.27% (87.10%) |
56.49% (84.83%) |
89.55% (82.40%) |
| 枠連 | 16.16% (85.03%) |
16.96% (94.25%) |
14.74% (73.70%) |
27.27% (133.94%) |
-- (--) |
18.42% (86.50%) |
14.38% (79.14%) |
30.86% (75.89%) |
| 馬連 | 12.59% (82.11%) |
13.08% (82.55%) |
11.60% (80.28%) |
19.17% (101.08%) |
22.83% (58.72%) |
15.33% (85.97%) |
10.75% (82.94%) |
25.47% (72.93%) |
| ワイド | 26.98% (83.93%) |
28.12% (83.25%) |
25.58% (85.36%) |
30.00% (73.75%) |
49.77% (82.01%) |
33.13% (88.92%) |
22.87% (82.44%) |
49.49% (77.95%) |
| 馬単 | 6.83% (78.08%) |
6.99% (79.53%) |
6.62% (75.15%) |
7.50% (97.75%) |
13.24% (60.73%) |
7.79% (83.73%) |
5.93% (77.76%) |
25.47% (69.72%) |
| 三連複 | 6.22% (73.57%) |
7.22% (59.64%) |
5.16% (88.55%) |
6.67% (64.00%) |
18.72% (67.72%) |
8.53% (76.82%) |
4.33% (73.01%) |
16.44% (70.45%) |
| 三連単 | 1.36% (49.15%) |
1.72% (58.06%) |
1.03% (28.95%) |
0.83% (200.75%) |
3.65% (39.00%) |
2.22% (91.90%) |
0.87% (35.81%) |
16.44% (63.35%) |
| 総合 | 60.93% (77.28%) |
60.27% (77.43%) |
61.12% (74.95%) |
67.50% (107.70%) |
78.08% (72.52%) |
66.13% (85.54%) |
57.64% (74.29%) |
89.90% (68.99%) |
これ、複勝もうちょっとだ(笑) でも、ワイドがねぇ^^; もしかして
[Loop 3] NDCG@1 = 0.7818
[Loop 3] NDCG@3 = 0.7869
[Loop 3] NDCG@5 = 0.7994
[Loop 3] NDCG@10 = 0.8534
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.58% (81.73%) |
26.88% (79.55%) |
28.01% (82.05%) |
31.67% (107.92%) |
39.73% (95.53%) |
29.17% (85.01%) |
25.96% (79.39%) |
57.63% (78.74%) |
| 複勝 | 59.19% (84.96%) |
58.67% (84.27%) |
59.23% (85.22%) |
65.83% (90.92%) |
73.06% (91.69%) |
64.03% (85.07%) |
56.32% (84.31%) |
89.41% (83.03%) |
| 枠連 | 15.80% (82.66%) |
16.04% (89.91%) |
15.06% (75.15%) |
24.24% (99.09%) |
-- (--) |
17.31% (77.75%) |
14.30% (79.06%) |
31.99% (82.33%) |
| 馬連 | 12.21% (79.30%) |
12.55% (82.16%) |
11.42% (75.60%) |
18.33% (89.92%) |
22.37% (59.86%) |
14.34% (76.81%) |
10.59% (81.89%) |
26.05% (77.12%) |
| ワイド | 26.86% (86.00%) |
27.89% (83.61%) |
25.52% (88.92%) |
30.83% (79.58%) |
50.23% (83.65%) |
32.01% (83.67%) |
23.03% (86.99%) |
49.46% (80.13%) |
| 馬単 | 6.43% (72.79%) |
6.22% (72.47%) |
6.50% (71.96%) |
8.33% (88.75%) |
11.87% (55.16%) |
6.92% (66.27%) |
5.77% (76.56%) |
26.05% (74.61%) |
| 三連複 | 6.40% (78.44%) |
7.28% (68.43%) |
5.53% (90.75%) |
5.83% (50.58%) |
19.18% (76.53%) |
8.28% (63.21%) |
4.61% (83.69%) |
16.67% (72.68%) |
| 三連単 | 1.22% (50.58%) |
1.42% (55.39%) |
1.03% (34.70%) |
0.83% (200.75%) |
2.28% (23.33%) |
1.85% (78.48%) |
0.91% (43.74%) |
16.67% (68.03%) |
| 総合 | 60.43% (76.98%) |
60.09% (76.70%) |
60.39% (75.55%) |
65.83% (100.98%) |
77.17% (69.39%) |
64.77% (77.03%) |
57.48% (76.95%) |
89.75% (72.87%) |
でも、最後に来たか?
[Loop 10] NDCG@1 = 0.7827
[Loop 10] NDCG@3 = 0.7870
[Loop 10] NDCG@5 = 0.7999
[Loop 10] NDCG@10 = 0.8536
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.47% (81.41%) |
27.06% (79.67%) |
27.70% (82.94%) |
30.00% (84.92%) |
40.18% (94.47%) |
28.55% (81.32%) |
25.96% (80.26%) |
57.22% (75.75%) |
| 複勝 | 58.81% (84.33%) |
58.38% (82.99%) |
58.93% (85.78%) |
63.33% (83.25%) |
74.43% (93.24%) |
64.77% (85.98%) |
55.42% (82.97%) |
89.23% (82.05%) |
| 枠連 | 16.09% (85.52%) |
15.83% (89.66%) |
15.88% (80.54%) |
23.23% (105.76%) |
-- (--) |
17.68% (80.59%) |
14.54% (81.73%) |
31.15% (76.91%) |
| 馬連 | 12.56% (82.63%) |
12.43% (79.93%) |
12.27% (84.50%) |
18.33% (95.08%) |
23.74% (64.61%) |
15.20% (83.72%) |
10.67% (83.90%) |
25.47% (71.26%) |
| ワイド | 27.29% (85.25%) |
27.65% (81.94%) |
26.67% (89.11%) |
30.83% (78.92%) |
51.60% (86.53%) |
33.00% (86.43%) |
23.20% (84.74%) |
49.20% (77.14%) |
| 馬単 | 6.69% (76.54%) |
6.28% (76.08%) |
6.99% (76.60%) |
8.33% (82.33%) |
11.87% (54.20%) |
7.54% (80.30%) |
5.93% (77.31%) |
25.47% (68.05%) |
| 三連複 | 6.11% (64.16%) |
6.87% (56.41%) |
5.29% (72.61%) |
6.67% (57.42%) |
17.35% (64.38%) |
8.41% (75.48%) |
4.33% (60.37%) |
16.53% (73.76%) |
| 三連単 | 1.51% (59.19%) |
1.48% (36.28%) |
1.58% (72.38%) |
0.83% (200.75%) |
2.28% (23.33%) |
2.35% (86.00%) |
1.15% (53.49%) |
16.53% (68.69%) |
| 総合 | 60.12% (77.27%) |
59.74% (72.51%) |
60.27% (80.56%) |
63.33% (98.39%) |
78.54% (68.68%) |
65.27% (82.48%) |
56.74% (75.60%) |
89.58% (71.40%) |
ちょっと疲れてきた。
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