2026/08/11

掛け合わせ

昨日追加した特徴量で以前良かったパラメーターを試しました。

NumberOfLeaves: 351
NumberOfIterations: 3000
LearningRate: 0.01
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 127
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 80
FeatureFraction: 0.75
SubsampleFraction: 0.8
CustomGains: 0~500 = 0点, 501~1000は1.8乗に0~1000点

これを昨晩就寝前に40回スタートしてました。9回目のNDCG@1=0.7811 NDCG@3=0.7837

3,455R 1点 芝(1,689R) ダート(1,646R) 障害(120R) 8頭以下(219R) 9~12頭(809R) 13頭以上(2,427R) 多点
単勝 27.53%
(81.51%)
26.82%
(80.97%)
28.25%
(82.37%)
27.50%
(77.25%)
36.07%
(81.96%)
28.92%
(82.05%)
26.29%
(81.29%)
58.78%
(79.75%)
複勝 58.52%
(84.43%)
58.32%
(84.14%)
58.57%
(84.82%)
60.83%
(83.00%)
69.86%
(86.48%)
64.28%
(85.36%)
55.58%
(83.93%)
89.70%
(83.84%)
枠連 16.00%
(81.40%)
16.11%
(86.96%)
15.50%
(75.50%)
22.22%
(96.36%)
--
(--)
17.80%
(78.84%)
14.38%
(77.10%)
32.35%
(84.22%)
馬連 12.53%
(81.22%)
12.79%
(81.05%)
12.03%
(82.17%)
15.83%
(70.42%)
23.29%
(68.90%)
15.33%
(81.80%)
10.63%
(82.13%)
26.31%
(83.80%)
ワイド 26.86%
(87.92%)
27.89%
(88.69%)
25.76%
(88.65%)
27.50%
(67.00%)
51.14%
(86.03%)
32.39%
(84.17%)
22.83%
(89.34%)
49.96%
(84.25%)
馬単 6.83%
(75.26%)
6.39%
(67.96%)
7.17%
(82.58%)
8.33%
(77.83%)
13.70%
(77.95%)
7.91%
(87.16%)
5.85%
(71.06%)
26.31%
(81.24%)
三連複 6.40%
(80.51%)
7.34%
(64.56%)
5.47%
(99.39%)
5.83%
(46.08%)
18.26%
(61.10%)
8.78%
(69.80%)
4.53%
(85.83%)
17.11%
(77.39%)
三連単 1.30%
(46.01%)
1.42%
(38.10%)
1.28%
(57.48%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
3.20%
(39.22%)
1.73%
(36.22%)
0.99%
(49.88%)
17.11%
(71.49%)
総合 59.77%
(77.23%)
59.56%
(73.78%)
59.84%
(81.65%)
61.67%
(64.04%)
74.43%
(71.66%)
64.89%
(75.68%)
56.74%
(77.57%)
90.10%
(76.67%)

なんかもう、当たり前の様にこの辺りになるなぁ。8回目のNDCG@1=0.7782 NDCG@3=0.7846

3,455R 1点 芝(1,689R) ダート(1,646R) 障害(120R) 8頭以下(219R) 9~12頭(809R) 13頭以上(2,427R) 多点
単勝 28.16%
(81.65%)
27.18%
(81.70%)
28.86%
(80.04%)
32.50%
(103.00%)
37.44%
(78.90%)
29.42%
(84.92%)
26.91%
(80.81%)
58.52%
(79.86%)
複勝 59.54%
(86.16%)
58.44%
(84.66%)
60.21%
(87.24%)
65.83%
(92.58%)
70.78%
(86.89%)
64.52%
(86.65%)
56.86%
(85.94%)
89.90%
(84.05%)
枠連 15.51%
(77.06%)
15.33%
(80.32%)
14.99%
(72.01%)
26.26%
(111.01%)
--
(--)
17.18%
(75.78%)
13.97%
(72.60%)
31.67%
(80.90%)
馬連 12.19%
(72.25%)
12.31%
(71.33%)
11.48%
(71.26%)
20.00%
(99.00%)
23.29%
(61.96%)
14.34%
(71.64%)
10.47%
(73.39%)
25.96%
(79.88%)
ワイド 26.98%
(86.56%)
27.95%
(83.84%)
25.70%
(90.15%)
30.83%
(75.50%)
50.68%
(84.61%)
31.89%
(83.63%)
23.20%
(87.70%)
49.55%
(82.16%)
馬単 6.60%
(66.67%)
6.22%
(61.49%)
6.74%
(68.65%)
10.00%
(112.42%)
13.70%
(60.18%)
7.42%
(66.27%)
5.69%
(67.39%)
25.96%
(77.38%)
三連複 6.28%
(72.00%)
7.52%
(70.92%)
4.86%
(72.70%)
8.33%
(77.67%)
18.26%
(71.19%)
8.90%
(73.14%)
4.33%
(71.70%)
16.76%
(75.25%)
三連単 1.01%
(34.66%)
1.07%
(36.61%)
1.03%
(35.18%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
3.20%
(27.40%)
1.36%
(44.92%)
0.70%
(31.89%)
16.76%
(71.26%)
総合 60.72%
(72.06%)
59.80%
(71.17%)
61.30%
(72.15%)
65.83%
(83.29%)
73.97%
(67.31%)
64.89%
(73.37%)
58.14%
(71.43%)
90.19%
(75.37%)

やはり、NDCG@1で選ぶより、NDCG@3で選んだ方が精度が高いな。

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