サボってた訳ではなく単純にここに書くのを忘れてた^^; しかもどんなパラメーター試してたのかも忘れた(笑) 学習させたモデルは残ってるのでRMSEとかはファイル名で分かるけど...しかし、SQLiteをバージョンアップしたのが原因なのか、まあ、そもそも最初の検証時はデータがキャッシュされてないってもあって遅いんだが、それにしても異常に遅いorz 確か数分で終わるレベルの筈なんだが、そもそも1か月がまだ終わらないのは酷いな。
まさかとは思ったけど、SQLite Version 3.54.0にしたら激遅になったっぽい😱 今年の1月～9月の検証で１時間以上たっても3月にやっと入った程度だったのが、元に戻したら６分２８秒で検証完了(笑) で、ああっ、通常用走破タイム学習RMSE 1.5893は
| 2,427R | 1点 | 芝(1,149R) | ダート(1,189R) | 障害(89R) | 8頭以下(129R) | 9～12頭(597R) | 13頭以上(1,701R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 20.19% (69.93%) |
20.19% (75.27%) |
20.86% (66.78%) |
11.24% (42.92%) |
28.68% (77.29%) |
20.44% (57.77%) |
19.46% (73.63%) |
49.57% (76.03%) |
| 複勝 | 50.60% (81.03%) |
47.00% (78.19%) |
53.83% (83.41%) |
53.93% (85.84%) |
58.91% (85.66%) |
51.93% (77.44%) |
49.50% (81.94%) |
85.41% (80.63%) |
| 枠連 | 12.13% (78.91%) |
11.50% (85.28%) |
12.73% (73.76%) |
11.39% (72.78%) |
-- (--) |
11.56% (62.73%) |
11.64% (80.09%) |
27.71% (83.80%) |
| 馬連 | 8.45% (70.66%) |
7.83% (79.63%) |
9.00% (61.93%) |
8.99% (71.46%) |
15.50% (72.64%) |
8.21% (58.31%) |
8.00% (74.84%) |
20.27% (77.86%) |
| ワイド | 21.14% (77.61%) |
18.62% (71.32%) |
23.63% (81.48%) |
20.22% (107.08%) |
33.33% (62.25%) |
23.45% (82.11%) |
19.40% (77.20%) |
41.20% (79.85%) |
| 馬単 | 4.08% (63.07%) |
3.39% (65.38%) |
5.05% (65.57%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
7.75% (76.98%) |
4.19% (46.68%) |
3.76% (67.77%) |
20.27% (76.07%) |
| 三連複 | 5.27% (97.31%) |
4.26% (107.21%) |
6.31% (92.54%) |
4.49% (33.26%) |
9.30% (37.83%) |
6.03% (80.74%) |
4.70% (107.64%) |
14.09% (71.25%) |
| 三連単 | 0.70% (61.07%) |
0.52% (101.88%) |
0.93% (26.21%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
1.55% (56.28%) |
1.01% (42.45%) |
0.53% (67.97%) |
14.09% (67.48%) |
| 総合 | 52.25% (74.90%) |
49.26% (82.98%) |
55.00% (68.93%) |
53.93% (51.37%) |
63.57% (66.99%) |
53.43% (63.53%) |
50.97% (78.89%) |
85.74% (72.46%) |
まだまだだけど少しは改善した。しかし、何してこうなったのか全く忘れてるので次の手が分からないorz
追記 2026.10.10 22:19
NumberOfLeaves: 95
NumberOfIterations: 1,500
LearningRate: 0.020
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 127
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 20
SubsampleFraction: 0.075
FeatureFraction: 0.980
L2Regularization: 0.500
これでRMSE 1.5878
| 2,427R | 1点 | 芝(1,149R) | ダート(1,189R) | 障害(89R) | 8頭以下(129R) | 9～12頭(597R) | 13頭以上(1,701R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 20.19% (72.18%) |
19.67% (75.90%) |
21.11% (69.55%) |
14.61% (59.44%) |
25.58% (64.11%) |
21.78% (66.77%) |
19.22% (74.70%) |
49.77% (75.37%) |
| 複勝 | 51.17% (81.62%) |
48.13% (81.06%) |
54.25% (82.84%) |
49.44% (72.47%) |
58.91% (88.60%) |
55.95% (83.05%) |
48.91% (80.59%) |
86.65% (81.91%) |
| 枠連 | 12.27% (77.44%) |
11.10% (86.29%) |
13.62% (72.12%) |
7.59% (42.66%) |
-- (--) |
11.06% (64.17%) |
11.99% (77.68%) |
27.81% (86.55%) |
| 馬連 | 8.74% (69.35%) |
7.92% (76.23%) |
9.84% (65.00%) |
4.49% (38.65%) |
16.28% (79.30%) |
7.87% (58.74%) |
8.47% (72.32%) |
20.56% (79.45%) |
| ワイド | 21.63% (78.38%) |
18.80% (73.37%) |
24.31% (80.95%) |
22.47% (108.88%) |
30.23% (54.96%) |
23.95% (83.79%) |
20.16% (78.27%) |
41.94% (82.40%) |
| 馬単 | 4.37% (64.96%) |
3.92% (72.42%) |
5.13% (62.61%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
7.75% (57.60%) |
4.19% (46.72%) |
4.17% (71.92%) |
20.56% (76.95%) |
| 三連複 | 5.81% (88.59%) |
5.13% (103.20%) |
6.56% (78.60%) |
4.49% (33.26%) |
12.40% (57.29%) |
6.87% (88.49%) |
4.94% (90.99%) |
14.50% (88.29%) |
| 三連単 | 0.74% (45.01%) |
0.70% (57.29%) |
0.84% (36.52%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
2.33% (53.72%) |
0.67% (40.94%) |
0.65% (45.78%) |
14.50% (85.54%) |
| 総合 | 52.41% (72.13%) |
49.52% (78.08%) |
55.34% (68.50%) |
50.56% (44.44%) |
60.47% (65.08%) |
57.45% (66.58%) |
50.03% (74.03%) |
86.98% (83.34%) |
この辺りがそろそろ限界に近いのかも。いや、現行ML.NETではね。来月に期待してます。
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