ここ数日はGeminiに騙されて無駄な時間を費やし、昨夜、CopilotにGeminiに騙されたけどお前は出来る?って訊くと自信満々に言うので、仕事終えて帰宅して、ではお願いって感じでコード提示してもらうと、まあ、想定内でGeminiとは大差ない。で、まあ、問い詰めるとサラッと謝罪する始末(笑)
じゃあ、ああっ、その過程でやってたのはEarlyStoppingRoundの導入なんだが、結局どちらもこれの実装はまだ完璧じゃないから利用出来ないって事でした。そこで、ここまでの最適パラメーターを見せてどうすれば良いかを尋ねると
NumberOfLeaves: 351
NumberOfIterations: 2000
LearningRate: 0.01
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 47
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 50
FeatureFraction: 0.75
SubsampleFraction: 0.8
CustomGains: 0～0 = 0点, 1～1000は1.5乗に0～1000点
を試してみればって事で、3回目でNDCG@1=0.7824 NDCG@3=0.7872
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.35% (80.25%) |
27.29% (81.60%) |
27.10% (77.28%) |
31.67% (101.92%) |
40.64% (99.36%) |
29.17% (83.76%) |
25.55% (77.35%) |
57.60% (78.62%) |
| 複勝 | 59.39% (85.70%) |
59.09% (84.51%) |
59.23% (86.63%) |
65.83% (89.58%) |
73.06% (91.96%) |
64.65% (86.08%) |
56.41% (85.00%) |
89.61% (82.51%) |
| 枠連 | 16.29% (86.35%) |
16.68% (93.95%) |
15.31% (78.28%) |
26.26% (106.57%) |
-- (--) |
17.80% (78.60%) |
14.75% (83.46%) |
31.21% (77.77%) |
| 馬連 | 12.82% (82.86%) |
13.32% (85.94%) |
11.85% (78.49%) |
19.17% (99.42%) |
26.48% (83.70%) |
14.83% (76.61%) |
10.92% (84.87%) |
25.27% (70.07%) |
| ワイド | 27.73% (87.22%) |
29.19% (87.29%) |
25.82% (87.26%) |
33.33% (85.58%) |
50.68% (82.79%) |
32.39% (81.48%) |
24.10% (89.53%) |
49.06% (76.98%) |
| 馬単 | 6.66% (69.26%) |
6.81% (70.12%) |
6.20% (66.33%) |
10.83% (97.33%) |
14.16% (64.70%) |
7.54% (64.09%) |
5.69% (71.39%) |
25.27% (67.88%) |
| 三連複 | 6.08% (63.37%) |
7.10% (63.74%) |
4.86% (61.37%) |
8.33% (85.83%) |
19.63% (86.71%) |
8.41% (75.36%) |
4.08% (57.27%) |
16.12% (64.42%) |
| 三連単 | 1.51% (56.85%) |
1.84% (68.04%) |
1.15% (44.25%) |
1.67% (72.08%) |
5.02% (56.35%) |
1.98% (52.34%) |
1.03% (58.39%) |
16.12% (58.62%) |
| 総合 | 60.49% (76.35%) |
60.39% (79.09%) |
60.15% (72.45%) |
66.67% (91.97%) |
77.63% (80.80%) |
65.14% (74.79%) |
57.40% (75.91%) |
90.01% (65.79%) |
これまでのボーダー500より、ボーダー0にするとNDCGの値が良くなるのは理解してるけど、複勝だけはちょっと頑張ってる。18回目のNDCG@1=0.7829 NDCG@3=0.7867
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.73% (80.96%) |
27.24% (80.04%) |
27.89% (80.21%) |
32.50% (104.33%) |
37.44% (93.42%) |
29.17% (80.49%) |
26.37% (80.00%) |
57.60% (78.22%) |
| 複勝 | 59.07% (84.68%) |
58.85% (83.96%) |
58.75% (84.98%) |
66.67% (90.75%) |
73.97% (92.60%) |
63.66% (83.77%) |
56.20% (84.27%) |
89.67% (83.05%) |
| 枠連 | 16.03% (83.18%) |
15.61% (86.64%) |
15.88% (79.14%) |
24.24% (98.18%) |
-- (--) |
17.80% (76.30%) |
14.42% (80.20%) |
31.05% (78.20%) |
| 馬連 | 12.56% (81.99%) |
12.49% (79.22%) |
12.21% (85.05%) |
18.33% (78.83%) |
23.29% (69.36%) |
15.08% (77.91%) |
10.75% (84.49%) |
25.35% (71.42%) |
| ワイド | 27.47% (86.09%) |
28.06% (83.47%) |
26.43% (88.83%) |
33.33% (85.25%) |
51.14% (93.97%) |
32.88% (83.16%) |
23.53% (86.35%) |
49.32% (78.07%) |
| 馬単 | 6.86% (78.33%) |
6.75% (78.32%) |
6.87% (79.87%) |
8.33% (57.42%) |
11.87% (54.29%) |
8.41% (86.74%) |
5.89% (77.70%) |
25.35% (68.80%) |
| 三連複 | 6.05% (62.14%) |
6.81% (59.24%) |
5.22% (66.31%) |
6.67% (45.75%) |
17.81% (75.80%) |
8.41% (77.75%) |
4.20% (55.71%) |
16.44% (70.21%) |
| 三連単 | 1.36% (61.43%) |
1.66% (79.55%) |
1.09% (45.66%) |
0.83% (22.67%) |
2.28% (23.33%) |
2.35% (87.06%) |
0.95% (56.32%) |
16.44% (64.98%) |
| 総合 | 60.17% (77.27%) |
59.98% (78.64%) |
59.84% (76.24%) |
67.50% (72.33%) |
78.54% (71.83%) |
64.03% (81.65%) |
57.23% (75.63%) |
90.01% (69.71%) |
これもダメかぁ。
でまあ、Gainsを工夫しろって事でコードで
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 25.62% (77.20%) |
25.04% (75.55%) |
26.18% (78.92%) |
25.83% (76.92%) |
33.79% (73.70%) |
28.18% (81.66%) |
24.02% (76.03%) |
55.77% (76.63%) |
| 複勝 | 55.54% (83.92%) |
55.65% (83.08%) |
54.86% (84.27%) |
63.33% (91.08%) |
68.49% (88.26%) |
59.33% (81.98%) |
53.11% (84.18%) |
87.73% (82.03%) |
| 枠連 | 15.38% (89.32%) |
14.27% (84.13%) |
16.07% (92.76%) |
20.20% (108.38%) |
-- (--) |
16.44% (77.81%) |
14.05% (87.48%) |
28.88% (76.96%) |
| 馬連 | 11.61% (92.01%) |
11.07% (77.84%) |
11.91% (107.61%) |
15.00% (77.67%) |
23.29% (111.23%) |
12.98% (73.28%) |
10.09% (96.53%) |
23.79% (78.95%) |
| ワイド | 24.72% (85.69%) |
24.75% (79.01%) |
24.18% (92.62%) |
31.67% (84.58%) |
47.03% (97.17%) |
29.17% (78.73%) |
21.22% (86.97%) |
45.56% (81.76%) |
| 馬単 | 6.14% (71.47%) |
5.62% (58.18%) |
6.62% (85.97%) |
6.67% (59.67%) |
11.42% (87.03%) |
7.05% (59.56%) |
5.36% (74.04%) |
23.79% (73.98%) |
| 三連複 | 5.50% (87.77%) |
6.69% (79.99%) |
4.50% (101.08%) |
2.50% (14.75%) |
15.53% (199.45%) |
7.17% (72.16%) |
4.04% (82.89%) |
15.69% (77.74%) |
| 三連単 | 1.33% (90.34%) |
1.48% (46.63%) |
1.28% (141.79%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
3.65% (41.42%) |
1.11% (47.76%) |
1.19% (108.95%) |
15.69% (75.39%) |
| 総合 | 57.11% (84.65%) |
57.37% (72.82%) |
56.32% (98.16%) |
64.17% (63.14%) |
73.97% (99.75%) |
60.82% (71.62%) |
54.35% (87.14%) |
87.99% (76.59%) |
まあ、結果的に不採用なコードとなる^^;