ここまでパラメーターを色々と変えて試すもこれといったものが得られない。先日ゲリラ雷雨で中断してたパターンを昨晩50回やったけど、結局あの2回目超えるものは出なかった。これ、単に運が悪いだけかもですが、まあ、そんなものです。次の一手は乗数をチョイ上げてみた。40回でスタート。
NumberOfLeaves: 351
NumberOfIterations: 2000
LearningRate: 0.01
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 47
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 50
FeatureFraction: 0.75
SubsampleFraction: 0.8
CustomGains: 0～500 = 0点, 501～1000は1.82乗に0～1000点
1回目でNDCG@1=0.7800 NDCG@3=0.7831
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.61% (77.87%) |
26.70% (77.25%) |
28.19% (77.19%) |
32.50% (95.92%) |
37.90% (84.16%) |
28.55% (76.66%) |
26.37% (77.70%) |
58.52% (78.53%) |
| 複勝 | 58.70% (83.49%) |
58.14% (82.92%) |
58.75% (83.51%) |
65.83% (91.33%) |
70.32% (84.93%) |
63.41% (83.44%) |
56.08% (83.38%) |
89.49% (83.08%) |
| 枠連 | 17.07% (90.52%) |
17.03% (95.58%) |
16.84% (86.45%) |
21.21% (83.03%) |
-- (--) |
18.67% (85.65%) |
15.45% (86.39%) |
31.89% (78.75%) |
| 馬連 | 13.37% (86.98%) |
13.56% (83.95%) |
13.00% (91.73%) |
15.83% (64.50%) |
24.66% (65.84%) |
15.82% (87.47%) |
11.54% (88.73%) |
26.40% (75.04%) |
| ワイド | 28.05% (87.35%) |
28.83% (84.34%) |
27.10% (90.83%) |
30.00% (81.92%) |
51.60% (83.93%) |
33.00% (85.12%) |
24.27% (88.40%) |
49.84% (80.63%) |
| 馬単 | 7.44% (84.03%) |
7.16% (76.49%) |
7.59% (93.62%) |
9.17% (58.58%) |
13.70% (63.74%) |
8.28% (86.24%) |
6.59% (85.12%) |
26.40% (72.51%) |
| 三連複 | 6.28% (72.49%) |
6.81% (49.44%) |
5.65% (96.16%) |
7.50% (72.08%) |
19.18% (69.41%) |
8.78% (70.06%) |
4.29% (73.57%) |
17.02% (76.78%) |
| 三連単 | 1.24% (44.93%) |
1.36% (47.99%) |
1.22% (45.07%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
3.65% (33.52%) |
1.98% (60.41%) |
0.78% (40.80%) |
17.02% (68.59%) |
| 総合 | 60.09% (78.29%) |
59.56% (74.30%) |
60.15% (83.05%) |
66.67% (68.09%) |
73.97% (69.36%) |
64.03% (79.38%) |
57.52% (78.01%) |
89.84% (72.92%) |
なんか出だしだけで決まるのかも?って思えたりもしますが、まあ、期待して明日の朝まで放置かな^^
3回目でNDCG@1=0.7809 NDCG@3=0.7835
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 27.70% (79.81%) |
27.06% (82.02%) |
27.95% (75.58%) |
33.33% (106.92%) |
36.53% (78.81%) |
28.18% (82.11%) |
26.74% (79.14%) |
58.15% (77.84%) |
| 複勝 | 59.36% (85.24%) |
58.50% (83.82%) |
59.78% (86.31%) |
65.83% (90.50%) |
70.78% (85.07%) |
63.78% (85.48%) |
56.86% (85.18%) |
89.35% (82.51%) |
| 枠連 | 16.90% (87.83%) |
16.75% (92.75%) |
16.58% (82.13%) |
24.24% (108.59%) |
-- (--) |
18.05% (78.49%) |
15.45% (85.37%) |
31.73% (77.31%) |
| 馬連 | 13.05% (85.02%) |
13.20% (85.69%) |
12.64% (84.36%) |
16.67% (84.75%) |
23.29% (62.19%) |
15.20% (83.19%) |
11.41% (87.70%) |
25.99% (73.68%) |
| ワイド | 27.73% (86.09%) |
28.42% (85.33%) |
26.79% (87.26%) |
30.83% (80.75%) |
49.77% (82.74%) |
32.39% (86.03%) |
24.19% (86.42%) |
49.55% (80.05%) |
| 馬単 | 6.63% (74.16%) |
6.51% (77.17%) |
6.44% (68.72%) |
10.83% (106.33%) |
10.96% (46.62%) |
7.05% (72.48%) |
6.10% (77.20%) |
25.99% (70.85%) |
| 三連複 | 6.40% (72.63%) |
7.40% (61.82%) |
5.29% (82.28%) |
7.50% (92.42%) |
18.26% (60.87%) |
8.78% (69.44%) |
4.53% (74.75%) |
16.85% (73.81%) |
| 三連単 | 1.42% (61.01%) |
1.72% (77.84%) |
1.09% (29.47%) |
1.67% (256.83%) |
3.20% (33.74%) |
1.85% (82.94%) |
1.11% (56.16%) |
16.85% (69.20%) |
| 総合 | 60.69% (78.85%) |
59.92% (80.55%) |
61.00% (74.47%) |
67.50% (116.05%) |
74.89% (64.29%) |
64.40% (80.02%) |
58.18% (78.99%) |
89.64% (72.51%) |
さてと、これ以上を期待して寝ます。
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