2026/10/25

ここまでのパラメーター調査を元に

NumberOfLeaves: 319
NumberOfIterations: 4000
LearningRate: 0.005
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 127
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 150
SubsampleFraction: 0.8
FeatureFraction: 0.75
CustomGains: 0~500 = 0点, 501~1000は0.95乗に0~1000点

これを10回やるのに2時間41分程度。

繰り返し (Loop) NDCG@1 NDCG@3 NDCG@5 NDCG@10 学習時間
1回目 0.7654 0.7729 0.7888 0.8495 14分38秒
2回目 ★ 0.7671 0.7735 0.7894 0.8497 14分29秒
3回目 0.7659 0.7727 0.7892 0.8495 14分16秒
4回目 0.7662 0.7726 0.7886 0.8494 13分33秒
5回目 ★ 0.7664 0.7734 0.7890 0.8498 14分03秒
6回目 0.7648 0.7726 0.7889 0.8493 14分17秒
7回目 0.7652 0.7726 0.7888 0.8494 14分51秒
8回目 0.7660 0.7725 0.7887 0.8494 14分53秒
9回目 0.7656 0.7726 0.7886 0.8495 14分25秒
10回目 0.7657 0.7727 0.7887 0.8495 13分39秒

最適は

[Loop 2] NDCG@1 = 0.7671
[Loop 2] NDCG@3 = 0.7735
[Loop 2] NDCG@5 = 0.7894
[Loop 2] NDCG@10 = 0.8497

2,610R 1点 芝(1,278R) ダート(1,243R) 障害(89R) 8頭以下(157R) 9~12頭(665R) 13頭以上(1,788R) 多点
単勝 24.56%
(73.00%)
24.26%
(75.58%)
25.18%
(72.07%)
20.22%
(49.10%)
34.39%
(71.97%)
27.07%
(70.89%)
22.76%
(73.88%)
55.56%
(75.75%)
複勝 55.17%
(78.20%)
52.74%
(76.20%)
57.36%
(80.31%)
59.55%
(77.64%)
64.97%
(87.58%)
58.80%
(75.37%)
52.96%
(78.43%)
89.73%
(81.43%)
枠連 13.97%
(77.45%)
13.05%
(84.74%)
14.65%
(70.49%)
16.46%
(81.01%)
--
(--)
13.08%
(55.31%)
13.48%
(81.14%)
30.58%
(77.43%)
馬連 10.04%
(64.10%)
9.31%
(70.02%)
10.78%
(58.64%)
10.11%
(55.28%)
21.02%
(79.55%)
10.83%
(54.89%)
8.78%
(66.16%)
24.06%
(79.50%)
ワイド 24.41%
(74.13%)
23.24%
(72.80%)
25.82%
(75.42%)
21.35%
(75.06%)
40.76%
(75.67%)
26.77%
(71.47%)
22.09%
(74.98%)
46.93%
(78.51%)
馬単 5.59%
(49.83%)
5.01%
(53.15%)
6.36%
(47.62%)
3.37%
(33.03%)
12.74%
(72.80%)
6.77%
(58.12%)
4.53%
(44.73%)
24.06%
(76.44%)
三連複 7.16%
(112.95%)
6.65%
(135.86%)
7.80%
(90.33%)
5.62%
(99.78%)
13.38%
(88.09%)
8.42%
(87.19%)
6.15%
(124.71%)
16.70%
(73.04%)
三連単 1.61%
(58.63%)
1.02%
(46.88%)
2.25%
(72.72%)
1.12%
(30.67%)
1.91%
(106.43%)
2.26%
(61.49%)
1.34%
(53.37%)
16.70%
(71.53%)
総合 57.20%
(73.49%)
55.40%
(76.75%)
58.89%
(70.95%)
59.55%
(62.44%)
68.15%
(83.16%)
59.40%
(66.84%)
55.43%
(74.67%)
89.89%
(74.37%)

少しだけ改善はしてるけど^^; 次点は

[Loop 5] NDCG@1 = 0.7664
[Loop 5] NDCG@3 = 0.7734
[Loop 5] NDCG@5 = 0.7890
[Loop 5] NDCG@10 = 0.8498

2,610R 1点 芝(1,278R) ダート(1,243R) 障害(89R) 8頭以下(157R) 9~12頭(665R) 13頭以上(1,788R) 多点
単勝 24.83%
(72.61%)
24.41%
(72.68%)
25.42%
(73.66%)
22.47%
(56.74%)
33.76%
(70.64%)
27.37%
(70.72%)
23.10%
(73.48%)
55.33%
(75.35%)
複勝 55.48%
(78.80%)
53.05%
(76.58%)
57.52%
(80.76%)
61.80%
(83.26%)
64.33%
(86.56%)
59.40%
(75.98%)
53.24%
(79.16%)
89.23%
(80.76%)
枠連 13.80%
(76.32%)
12.68%
(85.08%)
14.39%
(66.16%)
20.25%
(107.47%)
--
(--)
13.38%
(57.65%)
13.14%
(78.78%)
30.32%
(76.02%)
馬連 10.15%
(66.19%)
9.47%
(73.55%)
10.62%
(57.09%)
13.48%
(87.53%)
20.38%
(78.47%)
10.98%
(57.55%)
8.95%
(68.32%)
23.87%
(78.84%)
ワイド 24.06%
(71.93%)
22.77%
(69.90%)
25.50%
(74.25%)
22.47%
(68.76%)
40.13%
(74.71%)
26.77%
(70.26%)
21.64%
(72.31%)
46.78%
(77.98%)
馬単 5.67%
(58.59%)
5.16%
(63.82%)
6.19%
(51.88%)
5.62%
(77.08%)
12.10%
(74.46%)
6.32%
(57.56%)
4.87%
(57.57%)
23.87%
(76.06%)
三連複 7.05%
(108.39%)
6.57%
(133.58%)
7.72%
(88.28%)
4.49%
(27.64%)
14.01%
(105.48%)
7.97%
(65.13%)
6.10%
(124.74%)
16.67%
(71.57%)
三連単 1.76%
(115.96%)
1.49%
(106.87%)
2.09%
(131.42%)
1.12%
(30.67%)
3.18%
(176.50%)
1.95%
(50.29%)
1.57%
(135.07%)
16.67%
(67.83%)
総合 57.20%
(81.16%)
55.16%
(85.26%)
58.97%
(78.01%)
61.80%
(66.82%)
67.52%
(95.26%)
60.00%
(63.14%)
55.26%
(86.18%)
89.43%
(72.15%)

なるほど! 次点ながら流石にNDCG@10が最適なモデルなので三連系が抜群に良い感じだ。

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