ランキング学習を継続してました。葉の数を増やして
NumberOfLeaves: 511
NumberOfIterations: 3000
LearningRate: 0.01
MaximumBinCountPerFeature: 127
MinimumExampleCountPerLeaf: 50
SubsampleFraction: 0.8
FeatureFraction: 0.75
CustomGains: 0～300 = 0点, 301～1000は0.95乗に0～1000点
昨夜就寝前に40回スタート。現在38回目が動いてますが、ここまでのベストは
[Loop 14] NDCG@1 = 0.7688
[Loop 14] NDCG@3 = 0.7741
[Loop 14] NDCG@5 = 0.7903
[Loop 14] NDCG@10 = 0.8509
| 2,610R | 1点 | 芝(1,278R) | ダート(1,243R) | 障害(89R) | 8頭以下(157R) | 9～12頭(665R) | 13頭以上(1,788R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 24.18% (75.42%) |
23.63% (74.91%) |
24.70% (76.42%) |
24.72% (68.65%) |
33.12% (71.02%) |
26.32% (68.98%) |
22.60% (78.20%) |
54.94% (76.22%) |
| 複勝 | 54.41% (78.52%) |
52.58% (77.54%) |
55.91% (79.45%) |
59.55% (79.55%) |
62.42% (82.93%) |
58.95% (76.65%) |
52.01% (78.83%) |
89.20% (81.53%) |
| 枠連 | 14.35% (82.20%) |
13.05% (85.78%) |
15.16% (75.50%) |
20.25% (132.91%) |
-- (--) |
12.48% (51.40%) |
14.21% (88.83%) |
30.62% (76.34%) |
| 馬連 | 10.23% (67.84%) |
9.23% (66.31%) |
11.10% (66.81%) |
12.36% (104.16%) |
19.11% (73.89%) |
10.38% (55.26%) |
9.40% (71.99%) |
24.06% (75.94%) |
| ワイド | 23.68% (73.77%) |
22.30% (68.90%) |
25.26% (78.24%) |
21.35% (81.24%) |
36.31% (65.10%) |
26.02% (68.95%) |
21.70% (76.33%) |
46.90% (78.81%) |
| 馬単 | 5.98% (71.51%) |
5.09% (64.87%) |
6.76% (75.00%) |
7.87% (118.09%) |
10.19% (61.91%) |
6.32% (55.80%) |
5.48% (78.19%) |
24.06% (73.31%) |
| 三連複 | 6.82% (77.29%) |
6.49% (71.49%) |
7.24% (84.39%) |
5.62% (61.24%) |
13.38% (89.49%) |
6.62% (59.23%) |
6.32% (82.93%) |
16.74% (83.34%) |
| 三連単 | 1.69% (114.31%) |
1.17% (90.38%) |
2.17% (141.21%) |
2.25% (82.13%) |
3.82% (181.27%) |
1.50% (40.42%) |
1.57% (135.91%) |
16.74% (79.46%) |
| 総合 | 56.51% (80.08%) |
55.01% (74.82%) |
57.76% (84.69%) |
60.67% (90.40%) |
65.61% (89.37%) |
59.25% (59.59%) |
54.70% (86.40%) |
89.43% (78.53%) |
これ、回収率が上がってるけど的中率的には微妙に悪い感じだ。厳密にはワイドが低いんだよね。ワイド的にはNDCG@3が意味あると思うけど、0.7741はベストでもある。まあ、後は@5や@10的にも見た方が良いのかもだけど。
新馬戦だけだと
| 183R | 1点 | 芝(129R) | ダート(54R) | 8頭以下(28R) | 9～12頭(68R) | 13頭以上(87R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 20.22% (92.90%) |
23.26% (82.09%) |
12.96% (118.70%) |
32.14% (68.57%) |
26.47% (73.24%) |
11.49% (116.09%) |
46.99% (74.08%) |
| 複勝 | 44.81% (75.41%) |
47.29% (71.40%) |
38.89% (85.00%) |
53.57% (73.93%) |
48.53% (66.62%) |
39.08% (82.76%) |
80.33% (71.69%) |
| 枠連 | 10.88% (127.35%) |
14.43% (176.49%) |
4.00% (32.00%) |
-- (--) |
11.76% (69.26%) |
9.20% (161.03%) |
21.77% (78.95%) |
| 馬連 | 8.74% (67.32%) |
11.63% (87.91%) |
1.85% (18.15%) |
21.43% (157.86%) |
8.82% (58.97%) |
4.60% (44.71%) |
18.58% (118.32%) |
| ワイド | 15.30% (52.51%) |
18.60% (55.74%) |
7.41% (44.81%) |
35.71% (100.00%) |
16.18% (44.41%) |
8.05% (43.56%) |
33.88% (68.91%) |
| 馬単 | 5.46% (63.01%) |
6.98% (81.94%) |
1.85% (17.78%) |
14.29% (177.86%) |
7.35% (72.50%) |
1.15% (18.62%) |
18.58% (106.71%) |
| 三連複 | 2.19% (52.08%) |
3.10% (73.88%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
10.71% (293.21%) |
1.47% (19.41%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
6.56% (32.60%) |
| 三連単 | 1.09% (121.97%) |
1.55% (173.02%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
7.14% (797.14%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
6.56% (20.47%) |
| 総合 | 45.90% (80.41%) |
48.84% (97.87%) |
38.89% (39.63%) |
57.14% (238.37%) |
48.53% (50.55%) |
40.23% (58.35%) |
80.33% (50.53%) |
それ以外だと
| 2,427R | 1点 | 芝(1,149R) | ダート(1,189R) | 障害(89R) | 8頭以下(129R) | 9～12頭(597R) | 13頭以上(1,701R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 24.47% (74.10%) |
23.67% (74.11%) |
25.23% (74.50%) |
24.72% (68.65%) |
33.33% (71.55%) |
26.30% (68.49%) |
23.16% (76.26%) |
55.54% (76.38%) |
| 複勝 | 55.13% (78.75%) |
53.18% (78.22%) |
56.69% (79.20%) |
59.55% (79.55%) |
64.34% (84.88%) |
60.13% (77.79%) |
52.67% (78.62%) |
89.86% (82.27%) |
| 枠連 | 14.58% (79.18%) |
12.92% (76.90%) |
15.65% (77.43%) |
20.25% (132.91%) |
-- (--) |
12.56% (49.36%) |
14.46% (85.13%) |
31.21% (76.16%) |
| 馬連 | 10.34% (67.88%) |
8.96% (63.89%) |
11.52% (69.02%) |
12.36% (104.16%) |
18.60% (55.66%) |
10.55% (54.84%) |
9.64% (73.39%) |
24.47% (72.74%) |
| ワイド | 24.31% (75.37%) |
22.72% (70.38%) |
26.07% (79.76%) |
21.35% (81.24%) |
36.43% (57.52%) |
27.14% (71.74%) |
22.40% (78.00%) |
47.88% (79.56%) |
| 馬単 | 6.02% (72.15%) |
4.87% (62.95%) |
6.98% (77.60%) |
7.87% (118.09%) |
9.30% (36.74%) |
6.20% (53.90%) |
5.70% (81.24%) |
24.47% (70.79%) |
| 三連複 | 7.17% (79.19%) |
6.88% (71.23%) |
7.57% (88.23%) |
5.62% (61.24%) |
13.95% (45.27%) |
7.20% (63.77%) |
6.64% (87.17%) |
17.51% (87.16%) |
| 三連単 | 1.73% (113.73%) |
1.13% (81.10%) |
2.27% (147.63%) |
2.25% (82.13%) |
3.10% (47.60%) |
1.68% (45.03%) |
1.65% (142.86%) |
17.51% (83.91%) |
| 総合 | 57.31% (80.05%) |
55.70% (72.27%) |
58.62% (86.73%) |
60.67% (90.40%) |
67.44% (57.03%) |
60.47% (60.62%) |
55.44% (87.83%) |
90.11% (80.63%) |
もう少し改善したいな^^;
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