AutoMLに手を入れたので何とか良いモデルが出ないかとひたすら学習させてます。昨夜新馬戦用1時間×20回で最適RMSE 1.6797が出てました。
| 174R | 1点 | 芝(125R) | ダート(49R) | 8頭以下(23R) | 9～12頭(57R) | 13頭以上(94R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 21.84% (72.30%) |
24.00% (78.08%) |
16.33% (57.55%) |
21.74% (37.39%) |
28.07% (87.54%) |
18.09% (71.60%) |
48.85% (72.22%) |
| 複勝 | 55.75% (86.78%) |
60.00% (93.04%) |
44.90% (70.82%) |
56.52% (63.48%) |
64.91% (102.98%) |
50.00% (82.66%) |
88.51% (83.56%) |
| 枠連 | 8.15% (68.96%) |
12.22% (103.44%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
-- (--) |
12.28% (122.28%) |
4.26% (24.89%) |
17.78% (66.71%) |
| 馬連 | 3.45% (74.20%) |
4.80% (103.28%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
4.35% (7.39%) |
7.02% (212.28%) |
1.06% (6.81%) |
12.07% (61.99%) |
| ワイド | 14.94% (66.03%) |
18.40% (80.80%) |
6.12% (28.37%) |
21.74% (39.57%) |
26.32% (127.02%) |
6.38% (35.53%) |
41.38% (87.01%) |
| 馬単 | 1.72% (9.14%) |
2.40% (12.72%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
4.35% (15.22%) |
3.51% (21.75%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
12.07% (48.60%) |
| 三連複 | 2.87% (22.99%) |
4.00% (32.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
4.35% (10.00%) |
7.02% (66.14%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
12.64% (41.84%) |
| 三連単 | 0.57% (16.21%) |
0.80% (22.56%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
1.75% (49.47%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
12.64% (31.81%) |
| 総合 | 58.05% (51.59%) |
63.20% (64.37%) |
44.90% (19.79%) |
60.87% (24.72%) |
68.42% (98.68%) |
51.06% (27.69%) |
88.51% (47.38%) |
頑張ってはいるとは思うけど、ダートがダメですね。ここまでダートが悪い理由がよく分からないけど、もう少し続ける必要はありそうです。
追記 2025.11.21 18:21
2時間×20回で再スタートしたんですが、ここまで半分程度終わった時点での最適RMSEは1.6986と微妙ではありますが、
| 174R | 1点 | 芝(125R) | ダート(49R) | 8頭以下(23R) | 9～12頭(57R) | 13頭以上(94R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 17.82% (46.95%) |
17.60% (43.84%) |
18.37% (54.90%) |
21.74% (50.43%) |
24.56% (54.56%) |
12.77% (41.49%) |
47.13% (65.25%) |
| 複勝 | 49.43% (75.11%) |
49.60% (76.16%) |
48.98% (72.45%) |
60.87% (70.87%) |
50.88% (80.18%) |
45.74% (73.09%) |
86.78% (81.11%) |
| 枠連 | 12.59% (85.26%) |
14.44% (72.78%) |
8.89% (110.22%) |
-- (--) |
14.04% (63.51%) |
9.57% (83.94%) |
18.52% (57.56%) |
| 馬連 | 8.05% (62.07%) |
8.80% (45.28%) |
6.12% (104.90%) |
8.70% (18.26%) |
12.28% (63.16%) |
5.32% (72.13%) |
15.52% (50.33%) |
| ワイド | 21.26% (77.36%) |
24.80% (73.68%) |
12.24% (86.73%) |
43.48% (80.00%) |
24.56% (63.68%) |
13.83% (85.00%) |
40.80% (67.41%) |
| 馬単 | 5.75% (103.22%) |
6.40% (63.36%) |
4.08% (204.90%) |
4.35% (15.22%) |
10.53% (97.54%) |
3.19% (128.19%) |
15.52% (40.40%) |
| 三連複 | 4.02% (27.64%) |
4.80% (29.60%) |
2.04% (22.65%) |
17.39% (75.65%) |
3.51% (34.39%) |
1.06% (11.81%) |
14.37% (46.64%) |
| 三連単 | 1.15% (46.32%) |
1.60% (64.48%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
3.51% (141.40%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
14.37% (40.42%) |
| 総合 | 52.30% (64.92%) |
53.60% (58.13%) |
48.98% (81.80%) |
65.22% (44.35%) |
52.63% (74.80%) |
48.94% (61.95%) |
87.36% (48.08%) |
ダートの悲惨な状態は少しマシ? 両立は難しいのかは分かりませんが、明日には終わると思うので、その時点でまた確認します。
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