2024/11/08

納得出来るまで

限られた時間で作業してます。今晩もこれから夜勤です。

ひたすらLightGBMで突き進んでみてます。新馬戦CKは200回以上はやりました。最適RMSEは1.6057で

52R 1点 芝(34R) ダート(18R) 8頭以下(0R) 9~12頭(9R) 13頭以上(43R) 多点
単勝 30.77%
(79.23%)
35.29%
(97.06%)
22.22%
(45.56%)
--
(--)
44.44%
(86.67%)
27.91%
(77.67%)
57.69%
(72.69%)
複勝 48.08%
(69.81%)
52.94%
(76.18%)
38.89%
(57.78%)
--
(--)
44.44%
(51.11%)
48.84%
(73.72%)
86.54%
(64.81%)
枠連 7.69%
(64.62%)
8.82%
(69.12%)
5.56%
(56.11%)
--
(--)
0.00%
(0.00%)
9.30%
(78.14%)
25.00%
(81.60%)
馬連 5.77%
(125.96%)
8.82%
(192.65%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
--
(--)
0.00%
(0.00%)
6.98%
(152.33%)
13.46%
(61.73%)
ワイド 7.69%
(43.27%)
8.82%
(55.00%)
5.56%
(21.11%)
--
(--)
0.00%
(0.00%)
9.30%
(52.33%)
21.15%
(43.14%)
馬単 1.92%
(135.96%)
2.94%
(207.94%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
--
(--)
0.00%
(0.00%)
2.33%
(164.42%)
13.46%
(53.62%)
三連複 0.00%
(0.00%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
--
(--)
0.00%
(0.00%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
1.92%
(9.76%)
三連単 0.00%
(0.00%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
--
(--)
0.00%
(0.00%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
1.92%
(4.17%)
総合 50.00%
(64.86%)
52.94%
(87.24%)
44.44%
(22.57%)
--
(--)
44.44%
(17.22%)
51.16%
(74.83%)
86.54%
(28.99%)

1.6の壁を突き抜けてほしいけど、取敢えず通常用CKに作業進めてます。新馬戦は1回1分程度だし、360回でも6時間って計算ですが、通常用CKは大体1時間/回なんです。いや、かなりの回数してました。で、今回の新馬戦CKの後に100回スタートさせて今30回目辺りです。つまり24時間はゆうに超えてます。こちらは途中ですが最適RMSE 1.3732が出てますが、これまでのだと1.3677ってのもあるので微妙ですが

307R 1点 芝(139R) ダート(153R) 障害(15R) 8頭以下(46R) 9~12頭(111R) 13頭以上(150R) 多点
単勝 22.48%
(64.85%)
23.74%
(68.13%)
20.26%
(50.59%)
33.33%
(180.00%)
32.61%
(107.17%)
30.63%
(77.84%)
13.33%
(42.27%)
51.79%
(76.93%)
複勝 50.49%
(73.91%)
52.52%
(79.42%)
48.37%
(66.93%)
53.33%
(94.00%)
63.04%
(83.70%)
59.46%
(84.23%)
40.00%
(63.27%)
86.97%
(78.74%)
枠連 16.33%
(100.37%)
18.81%
(138.71%)
14.60%
(75.47%)
14.29%
(34.29%)
--
(--)
18.92%
(106.04%)
12.67%
(85.47%)
25.31%
(63.62%)
馬連 11.40%
(90.26%)
12.23%
(95.18%)
9.80%
(70.26%)
20.00%
(248.67%)
21.74%
(157.83%)
14.41%
(94.23%)
6.00%
(66.60%)
21.50%
(57.58%)
ワイド 25.08%
(93.88%)
28.06%
(121.51%)
22.22%
(68.63%)
26.67%
(95.33%)
52.17%
(129.78%)
30.63%
(85.50%)
12.67%
(89.07%)
41.69%
(79.69%)
馬単 6.84%
(85.08%)
6.47%
(70.29%)
5.88%
(35.62%)
20.00%
(726.67%)
15.22%
(305.43%)
9.01%
(59.37%)
2.67%
(36.53%)
21.50%
(58.59%)
三連複 7.17%
(90.23%)
9.35%
(98.92%)
5.23%
(86.34%)
6.67%
(49.33%)
13.04%
(30.43%)
9.01%
(72.43%)
4.00%
(121.73%)
16.94%
(68.40%)
三連単 1.30%
(19.80%)
1.44%
(14.32%)
0.65%
(12.48%)
6.67%
(145.33%)
2.17%
(14.13%)
2.70%
(48.92%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
16.94%
(70.03%)
総合 52.77%
(76.70%)
54.68%
(83.94%)
50.98%
(58.06%)
53.33%
(208.30%)
67.39%
(118.35%)
60.36%
(78.57%)
42.67%
(63.12%)
86.97%
(68.97%)

100回終わるまでに良いものが出て欲しいですが、まっ、それはまだ70時間後って今週末終わってるorz ここらで良い馬券当てて軍資金出来たらPC新調して最新最強CPUでガンガン学習させたらもう少し良いものが...とかねぇ(笑)

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