今回は印は素直にLightGBMで行きます。
買い目はちょいとひねって買ってみました。
実はめげずにLightGBMでの通常CKの50回に挑んでまして、今日の夕方には終わると思います。昨日朝投票始めた後に最適RMSE 1.3649が出たので途中から切り替えてみました。
369R | 1点 | 芝(169R) | ダート(182R) | 障害(18R) | 8頭以下(50R) | 9~12頭(123R) | 13頭以上(196R) | 多点 |
単勝 | 27.91% (85.64%) |
27.22% (84.26%) |
26.37% (75.82%) |
50.00% (197.78%) |
42.00% (122.20%) |
34.96% (83.09%) |
19.90% (77.91%) |
53.39% (82.25%) |
複勝 | 55.56% (89.38%) |
55.62% (92.66%) |
53.85% (83.79%) |
72.22% (115.00%) |
66.00% (85.00%) |
66.67% (91.95%) |
45.92% (88.88%) |
86.18% (79.26%) |
枠連 | 14.00% (83.93%) |
13.39% (99.45%) |
14.46% (74.16%) |
14.29% (34.29%) |
-- (--) |
17.07% (91.87%) |
10.71% (70.82%) |
25.33% (66.45%) |
馬連 | 9.76% (67.15%) |
9.47% (69.47%) |
9.89% (68.13%) |
11.11% (35.56%) |
14.00% (53.40%) |
12.20% (88.46%) |
7.14% (57.30%) |
20.33% (48.01%) |
ワイド | 22.22% (133.36%) |
22.49% (185.80%) |
21.98% (89.51%) |
22.22% (84.44%) |
42.00% (90.40%) |
26.02% (68.70%) |
14.80% (184.90%) |
41.46% (86.30%) |
馬単 | 4.88% (49.00%) |
5.33% (64.32%) |
3.85% (34.40%) |
11.11% (52.78%) |
10.00% (63.60%) |
4.88% (34.55%) |
3.57% (54.34%) |
20.33% (48.02%) |
三連複 | 6.23% (58.02%) |
6.51% (37.40%) |
4.40% (55.38%) |
22.22% (278.33%) |
18.00% (117.00%) |
10.57% (108.37%) |
0.51% (11.38%) |
14.91% (56.83%) |
三連単 | 0.81% (11.36%) |
0.59% (6.80%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
11.11% (168.89%) |
2.00% (17.20%) |
1.63% (27.07%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
14.91% (67.64%) |
総合 | 57.18% (71.95%) |
56.80% (79.40%) |
56.04% (59.99%) |
72.22% (128.05%) |
68.00% (78.40%) |
66.67% (74.26%) |
48.47% (68.19%) |
86.18% (65.82%) |
なんとか使えそうなモデルが出たので、既にこれ使った順位予測フルCKの学習用CSVの出力も終わってますので、今晩は一旦PC休ませて後日学習させようと思います。
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