2026/05/13

AutoML vs Model Builder

今回の特徴量追加はAutoMLには裏目。一応Model Builderではどうか確認するのに24時間学習させると\(R^{2}\)値0.2611でした。

3,455R 1点 芝(1,689R) ダート(1,646R) 障害(120R) 8頭以下(219R) 9~12頭(809R) 13頭以上(2,427R) 多点
単勝 22.63%
(77.22%)
21.73%
(78.32%)
23.69%
(77.72%)
20.83%
(54.83%)
29.22%
(79.27%)
24.35%
(75.32%)
21.47%
(77.67%)
51.00%
(77.01%)
複勝 53.20%
(84.49%)
53.05%
(85.08%)
53.22%
(84.25%)
55.00%
(79.50%)
63.47%
(85.66%)
57.85%
(86.56%)
50.72%
(83.69%)
86.54%
(81.73%)
枠連 12.04%
(78.19%)
11.57%
(78.42%)
12.20%
(78.81%)
16.16%
(65.05%)
--
(--)
13.84%
(64.89%)
10.67%
(77.66%)
25.96%
(76.04%)
馬連 8.71%
(67.97%)
8.76%
(76.81%)
8.57%
(60.34%)
10.00%
(48.17%)
18.26%
(57.40%)
9.89%
(59.05%)
7.46%
(71.90%)
20.00%
(67.85%)
ワイド 21.88%
(81.40%)
23.33%
(86.86%)
19.99%
(74.29%)
27.50%
(102.00%)
42.92%
(80.96%)
25.71%
(78.60%)
18.71%
(82.37%)
42.14%
(77.62%)
馬単 4.08%
(51.28%)
3.67%
(58.30%)
4.43%
(45.53%)
5.00%
(31.17%)
6.85%
(30.37%)
4.70%
(56.14%)
3.63%
(51.54%)
20.00%
(65.73%)
三連複 5.33%
(63.70%)
6.16%
(62.67%)
4.31%
(59.30%)
7.50%
(138.42%)
16.89%
(88.86%)
7.66%
(75.53%)
3.50%
(57.48%)
14.62%
(74.20%)
三連単 1.13%
(45.31%)
1.01%
(53.37%)
1.22%
(38.48%)
1.67%
(25.58%)
1.37%
(14.75%)
2.10%
(54.98%)
0.78%
(44.84%)
14.62%
(73.77%)
総合 54.62%
(68.56%)
54.23%
(72.35%)
54.86%
(64.76%)
56.67%
(68.16%)
68.04%
(62.47%)
59.21%
(68.88%)
51.87%
(68.39%)
86.92%
(73.49%)

取敢えず、1回目なので、更に何度かやる必要はありそうだなぁ。AutoMLの的中率を超えるものが欲しいんだよね。

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