今回の特徴量追加はAutoMLには裏目。一応Model Builderではどうか確認するのに24時間学習させると\(R^{2}\)値0.2611でした。
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 22.63% (77.22%) |
21.73% (78.32%) |
23.69% (77.72%) |
20.83% (54.83%) |
29.22% (79.27%) |
24.35% (75.32%) |
21.47% (77.67%) |
51.00% (77.01%) |
| 複勝 | 53.20% (84.49%) |
53.05% (85.08%) |
53.22% (84.25%) |
55.00% (79.50%) |
63.47% (85.66%) |
57.85% (86.56%) |
50.72% (83.69%) |
86.54% (81.73%) |
| 枠連 | 12.04% (78.19%) |
11.57% (78.42%) |
12.20% (78.81%) |
16.16% (65.05%) |
-- (--) |
13.84% (64.89%) |
10.67% (77.66%) |
25.96% (76.04%) |
| 馬連 | 8.71% (67.97%) |
8.76% (76.81%) |
8.57% (60.34%) |
10.00% (48.17%) |
18.26% (57.40%) |
9.89% (59.05%) |
7.46% (71.90%) |
20.00% (67.85%) |
| ワイド | 21.88% (81.40%) |
23.33% (86.86%) |
19.99% (74.29%) |
27.50% (102.00%) |
42.92% (80.96%) |
25.71% (78.60%) |
18.71% (82.37%) |
42.14% (77.62%) |
| 馬単 | 4.08% (51.28%) |
3.67% (58.30%) |
4.43% (45.53%) |
5.00% (31.17%) |
6.85% (30.37%) |
4.70% (56.14%) |
3.63% (51.54%) |
20.00% (65.73%) |
| 三連複 | 5.33% (63.70%) |
6.16% (62.67%) |
4.31% (59.30%) |
7.50% (138.42%) |
16.89% (88.86%) |
7.66% (75.53%) |
3.50% (57.48%) |
14.62% (74.20%) |
| 三連単 | 1.13% (45.31%) |
1.01% (53.37%) |
1.22% (38.48%) |
1.67% (25.58%) |
1.37% (14.75%) |
2.10% (54.98%) |
0.78% (44.84%) |
14.62% (73.77%) |
| 総合 | 54.62% (68.56%) |
54.23% (72.35%) |
54.86% (64.76%) |
56.67% (68.16%) |
68.04% (62.47%) |
59.21% (68.88%) |
51.87% (68.39%) |
86.92% (73.49%) |
取敢えず、1回目なので、更に何度かやる必要はありそうだなぁ。AutoMLの的中率を超えるものが欲しいんだよね。
追記 2026.5.15 22:55
2回目は\(R^{2}\)値0.2645で
| 3,455R | 1点 | 芝(1,689R) | ダート(1,646R) | 障害(120R) | 8頭以下(219R) | 9～12頭(809R) | 13頭以上(2,427R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 22.98% (82.52%) |
21.79% (76.77%) |
24.36% (90.25%) |
20.83% (57.25%) |
31.96% (86.53%) |
24.10% (82.19%) |
21.80% (82.26%) |
51.03% (77.03%) |
| 複勝 | 53.55% (85.48%) |
52.99% (82.77%) |
53.65% (88.22%) |
60.00% (86.17%) |
66.21% (88.90%) |
58.96% (88.59%) |
50.60% (84.14%) |
87.21% (82.16%) |
| 枠連 | 12.39% (78.07%) |
11.07% (76.34%) |
13.28% (79.45%) |
17.17% (80.61%) |
-- (--) |
14.96% (71.69%) |
10.75% (75.24%) |
25.76% (73.80%) |
| 馬連 | 8.94% (60.96%) |
8.11% (56.09%) |
9.66% (67.39%) |
10.83% (41.33%) |
19.18% (58.40%) |
11.25% (70.11%) |
7.25% (58.14%) |
20.09% (64.42%) |
| ワイド | 21.71% (77.89%) |
22.50% (75.54%) |
20.60% (79.03%) |
25.83% (95.50%) |
45.66% (87.08%) |
27.56% (85.97%) |
17.59% (74.37%) |
42.08% (75.40%) |
| 馬単 | 4.17% (50.91%) |
3.32% (40.86%) |
5.16% (63.57%) |
2.50% (18.83%) |
6.39% (23.20%) |
4.82% (61.68%) |
3.75% (49.83%) |
20.09% (63.08%) |
| 三連複 | 5.41% (62.86%) |
6.28% (67.95%) |
4.43% (53.72%) |
6.67% (116.58%) |
17.81% (90.68%) |
8.16% (84.77%) |
3.38% (53.04%) |
14.56% (67.32%) |
| 三連単 | 0.96% (36.72%) |
0.89% (33.45%) |
1.09% (42.76%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
1.83% (32.47%) |
1.36% (43.03%) |
0.74% (35.01%) |
14.56% (61.27%) |
| 総合 | 54.96% (66.77%) |
54.65% (63.45%) |
54.80% (70.50%) |
61.67% (61.62%) |
72.15% (66.75%) |
59.95% (73.50%) |
51.75% (64.00%) |
87.50% (65.97%) |
多少マシって程度ですが、あまり良いとは言い難い結果ですね。まあ、既に新たな特徴量追加してるので、これはここまでです。
0 件のコメント:
コメントを投稿