ここ最近はTensorFlowに労力全て持っていかれて他に手が回らない状態が続いてます。やりたい事は山ほどあるけどってのと、やはり現在のPCの能力の低さが痛いです。
まあ、そんな中でも久しぶりに現在のLightGBMの今年の検証をしてみました。2025.1.1～2025.5.11分です。
- SouhaTimeCK13762_1_31_2172.lgbm
1,227R 1点 芝(529R) ダート(652R) 障害(46R) 8頭以下(48R) 9～12頭(265R) 13頭以上(914R) 多点 単勝 23.63%
(87.19%)21.36%
(98.07%)25.15%
(78.68%)28.26%
(82.61%)47.92%
(136.87%)28.30%
(85.06%)21.01%
(85.20%)53.14%
(85.47%)複勝 51.26%
(83.46%)48.02%
(85.44%)53.53%
(82.15%)56.52%
(79.35%)66.67%
(92.71%)55.85%
(81.55%)49.12%
(83.53%)85.82%
(80.81%)枠連 13.43%
(92.55%)11.09%
(86.00%)15.17%
(99.32%)12.82%
(60.00%)--
(--)14.72%
(66.98%)12.36%
(95.21%)27.83%
(80.83%)馬連 9.13%
(71.43%)6.62%
(53.91%)11.04%
(86.92%)10.87%
(53.48%)10.42%
(33.96%)11.70%
(71.70%)8.32%
(73.33%)19.48%
(68.45%)ワイド 19.89%
(76.42%)16.07%
(63.40%)22.09%
(83.97%)32.61%
(119.13%)29.17%
(51.67%)26.42%
(74.68%)17.51%
(78.23%)39.61%
(72.15%)馬単 5.54%
(75.24%)4.73%
(87.73%)5.98%
(65.32%)8.70%
(72.17%)10.42%
(67.08%)7.55%
(89.47%)4.70%
(71.54%)19.48%
(69.32%)三連複 4.07%
(49.41%)3.59%
(24.52%)4.29%
(67.87%)6.52%
(73.91%)10.42%
(63.96%)7.92%
(65.81%)2.63%
(43.88%)11.74%
(56.12%)三連単 0.81%
(21.65%)0.76%
(15.33%)0.92%
(28.31%)0.00%
(0.00%)4.17%
(93.75%)1.89%
(48.30%)0.33%
(10.14%)11.74%
(52.80%)総合 52.97%
(69.45%)50.28%
(63.94%)54.91%
(73.98%)56.52%
(67.73%)72.92%
(77.14%)56.98%
(72.94%)50.77%
(67.63%)86.31%
(62.51%) - RaceJuniFullCK36570_1_39_419.lgbm
1,272R 1点 芝(548R) ダート(678R) 障害(46R) 8頭以下(48R) 9～12頭(268R) 13頭以上(956R) 多点 単勝 21.31%
(81.12%)18.07%
(88.14%)23.30%
(74.16%)30.43%
(100.22%)37.50%
(100.83%)24.25%
(90.63%)19.67%
(77.47%)50.79%
(89.18%)複勝 50.47%
(84.58%)47.45%
(86.04%)52.36%
(83.11%)58.70%
(88.70%)62.50%
(86.67%)58.21%
(94.63%)47.70%
(81.65%)84.75%
(82.22%)枠連 12.06%
(87.98%)9.81%
(78.37%)13.66%
(94.01%)12.82%
(104.10%)--
(--)13.43%
(62.76%)11.09%
(90.72%)26.00%
(74.86%)馬連 8.25%
(70.29%)6.20%
(66.48%)9.88%
(75.37%)8.70%
(40.87%)10.42%
(33.96%)10.82%
(74.48%)7.43%
(70.94%)18.79%
(107.09%)ワイド 18.63%
(74.61%)16.06%
(72.17%)20.06%
(76.00%)28.26%
(83.26%)33.33%
(59.79%)26.49%
(87.16%)15.69%
(71.84%)39.62%
(81.72%)馬単 4.32%
(58.28%)3.28%
(58.70%)4.87%
(56.99%)8.70%
(72.17%)10.42%
(67.08%)5.22%
(71.57%)3.77%
(54.11%)18.79%
(111.78%)三連複 3.38%
(40.63%)3.47%
(29.69%)3.39%
(49.66%)2.17%
(37.83%)14.58%
(96.04%)5.22%
(45.56%)2.30%
(36.46%)10.30%
(48.55%)三連単 0.71%
(44.70%)0.36%
(8.21%)1.03%
(77.23%)0.00%
(0.00%)4.17%
(93.75%)0.37%
(5.11%)0.63%
(53.34%)10.30%
(47.10%)総合 52.20%
(67.58%)49.45%
(60.70%)53.98%
(73.24%)58.70%
(65.15%)66.67%
(76.88%)59.70%
(66.49%)49.37%
(67.07%)85.06%
(67.29%)
決して褒められたレベルではないのは確かです。まあ、だからTensorFlowに期待して作業進めてるんですがね。
追記 2025.5.18 10:36
比較としてモデルビルダーも載せておきます。
- SouhaTimeCK.mlnet
1,227R 1点 芝(529R) ダート(652R) 障害(46R) 8頭以下(48R) 9～12頭(265R) 13頭以上(914R) 多点 単勝 21.35%
(84.25%)17.58%
(75.60%)24.69%
(93.17%)17.39%
(57.39%)31.25%
(125.00%)22.64%
(77.25%)20.46%
(84.15%)49.47%
(77.12%)複勝 51.02%
(85.97%)45.75%
(78.36%)55.06%
(92.71%)54.35%
(78.04%)60.42%
(91.67%)56.23%
(84.83%)49.02%
(86.01%)85.90%
(83.74%)枠連 12.01%
(77.44%)9.57%
(66.93%)13.27%
(73.78%)20.51%
(260.77%)--
(--)15.09%
(99.40%)10.50%
(67.09%)27.03%
(91.36%)馬連 7.17%
(59.21%)5.29%
(45.82%)8.44%
(61.18%)10.87%
(185.22%)10.42%
(79.37%)10.19%
(88.49%)6.13%
(49.66%)19.32%
(76.03%)ワイド 20.95%
(86.59%)18.15%
(80.95%)23.31%
(90.05%)19.57%
(102.39%)35.42%
(96.04%)27.92%
(94.94%)18.16%
(83.67%)40.34%
(80.47%)馬単 3.83%
(54.95%)2.65%
(46.18%)4.91%
(64.48%)2.17%
(20.65%)6.25%
(117.92%)4.91%
(71.55%)3.39%
(46.83%)19.32%
(71.10%)三連複 5.05%
(78.08%)4.73%
(92.31%)5.52%
(71.15%)2.17%
(12.83%)6.25%
(32.92%)7.55%
(73.09%)4.27%
(81.90%)13.77%
(74.77%)三連単 0.73%
(41.21%)0.38%
(59.77%)1.07%
(29.05%)0.00%
(0.00%)0.00%
(0.00%)0.38%
(5.17%)0.88%
(53.82%)13.77%
(76.23%)総合 52.73%
(70.90%)47.64%
(68.26%)56.60%
(71.94%)56.52%
(86.34%)68.75%
(77.56%)57.74%
(74.34%)50.44%
(69.14%)86.63%
(77.05%) - RaceJuniFullCK.mlnet
1,272R 1点 芝(548R) ダート(678R) 障害(46R) 8頭以下(48R) 9～12頭(268R) 13頭以上(956R) 多点 単勝 19.42%
(73.78%)15.15%
(61.15%)23.01%
(85.90%)17.39%
(45.65%)33.33%
(126.25%)22.01%
(71.31%)17.99%
(71.84%)48.98%
(75.59%)複勝 48.51%
(82.84%)42.15%
(76.51%)53.10%
(88.41%)56.52%
(76.09%)62.50%
(93.13%)53.73%
(86.27%)46.34%
(81.36%)85.46%
(84.03%)枠連 12.15%
(80.00%)10.44%
(81.52%)13.35%
(77.97%)12.82%
(95.64%)--
(--)17.91%
(109.85%)9.94%
(67.70%)25.74%
(86.78%)馬連 7.86%
(79.50%)6.39%
(65.73%)9.14%
(92.57%)6.52%
(50.87%)12.50%
(94.37%)12.69%
(104.14%)6.28%
(71.84%)18.71%
(77.90%)ワイド 20.60%
(93.10%)17.52%
(82.79%)23.16%
(101.80%)19.57%
(87.61%)33.33%
(85.42%)27.99%
(99.25%)17.89%
(91.76%)39.15%
(85.33%)馬単 4.01%
(86.53%)3.65%
(82.96%)4.57%
(95.28%)0.00%
(0.00%)8.33%
(140.21%)6.34%
(115.34%)3.14%
(75.75%)18.71%
(71.69%)三連複 5.11%
(94.65%)4.20%
(84.23%)6.19%
(109.50%)0.00%
(0.00%)6.25%
(37.50%)7.46%
(99.48%)4.39%
(96.17%)13.92%
(96.15%)三連単 0.86%
(55.42%)0.73%
(83.89%)1.03%
(36.17%)0.00%
(0.00%)0.00%
(0.00%)1.49%
(84.22%)0.73%
(50.13%)13.92%
(102.51%)総合 50.39%
(80.73%)44.34%
(77.28%)54.72%
(85.98%)58.70%
(43.49%)68.75%
(82.41%)56.34%
(96.23%)47.80%
(75.82%)85.93%
(91.96%)
若干ではあるがモデルビルダーの方が回収率が良いので買うならこちらかな😅
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