今挑んでる学習

3,366R	1点	芝(1,569R)	ダート(1668R)	障害(129R)	8頭以下(195R)	9～12頭(775R)	13頭以上(2396R)	多点
単勝	22.01% (79.89%)	19.06% (71.02%)	24.28% (87.09%)	28.68% (94.81%)	29.23% (70.10%)	24.52% (85.81%)	20.62% (78.78%)	50.89% (79.15%)
複勝	51.75% (84.38%)	47.36% (81.03%)	54.98% (87.08%)	63.57% (90.31%)	59.49% (78.36%)	57.29% (87.41%)	49.33% (83.89%)	86.16% (83.32%)
枠連	12.91% (89.34%)	12.46% (101.55%)	13.02% (80.38%)	16.82% (71.96%)	-- (--)	15.35% (92.49%)	11.35% (82.98%)	26.95% (81.24%)
馬連	9.51% (79.09%)	8.92% (82.76%)	9.89% (77.46%)	11.63% (55.50%)	17.95% (55.08%)	11.74% (88.13%)	8.10% (78.12%)	20.89% (72.89%)
ワイド	21.63% (83.79%)	19.76% (81.64%)	22.78% (84.66%)	29.46% (98.60%)	36.92% (66.97%)	28.26% (92.79%)	18.24% (82.25%)	40.79% (79.53%)
馬単	4.52% (66.57%)	4.08% (69.23%)	4.86% (65.87%)	5.43% (43.26%)	8.21% (33.79%)	5.55% (68.35%)	3.88% (68.66%)	20.89% (70.19%)
三連複	5.29% (69.55%)	4.97% (58.23%)	5.46% (79.70%)	6.98% (76.05%)	13.85% (68.92%)	7.23% (76.23%)	3.96% (67.45%)	13.34% (75.48%)
三連単	0.98% (66.84%)	1.02% (39.66%)	1.02% (97.57%)	0.00% (0.00%)	3.08% (80.97%)	1.29% (30.92%)	0.71% (77.30%)	13.34% (72.70%)
総合	53.09% (77.28%)	49.14% (72.57%)	56.00% (82.49%)	63.57% (66.19%)	64.62% (64.89%)	58.45% (77.76%)	50.42% (77.43%)	86.81% (74.55%)

これ、この所試してる学習で得たRMSE 1.4313なんですが、微妙な出来です。何がやばいって、歳を取ったからか、これに使った学習データが何年からだったかの記憶に自信がないorz いや、試しに検証で１年出来る様に2024.12.31までにしたのは覚えてます。スタートは前回2025.1.1にしたのでそれよりも少なくしてるんだけど、2018.1.1にしたか、その前の年にしたのか...

3,366R	1点	芝(1,569R)	ダート(1668R)	障害(129R)	8頭以下(195R)	9～12頭(775R)	13頭以上(2396R)	多点
単勝	22.16% (82.53%)	19.06% (76.89%)	24.28% (85.58%)	32.56% (111.86%)	28.21% (72.77%)	25.16% (89.03%)	20.70% (81.23%)	50.42% (78.82%)
複勝	52.14% (87.60%)	47.55% (84.57%)	55.70% (90.05%)	62.02% (92.79%)	61.03% (88.21%)	56.65% (87.64%)	49.96% (87.54%)	86.07% (83.46%)
枠連	12.32% (77.97%)	11.40% (86.70%)	13.09% (70.83%)	12.15% (76.45%)	-- (--)	13.94% (81.88%)	11.06% (72.05%)	26.42% (75.49%)
馬連	9.24% (72.76%)	8.16% (79.24%)	10.25% (67.94%)	9.30% (56.20%)	19.49% (78.15%)	10.32% (80.36%)	8.06% (69.86%)	20.50% (70.67%)
ワイド	20.74% (82.94%)	18.99% (82.52%)	22.12% (82.84%)	24.03% (89.30%)	35.90% (67.85%)	25.03% (84.63%)	18.11% (83.62%)	41.33% (82.78%)
馬単	4.93% (64.15%)	4.21% (67.41%)	5.52% (62.46%)	6.20% (46.36%)	10.77% (85.03%)	6.19% (75.07%)	4.05% (58.91%)	20.50% (68.84%)
三連複	4.81% (69.20%)	4.27% (68.90%)	5.22% (72.15%)	6.20% (34.81%)	11.79% (70.36%)	6.58% (67.95%)	3.67% (69.52%)	13.22% (78.21%)
三連単	0.89% (72.41%)	0.64% (85.98%)	1.08% (63.03%)	1.55% (28.76%)	3.08% (108.82%)	0.90% (26.17%)	0.71% (84.41%)	13.22% (75.98%)
総合	53.48% (76.17%)	49.14% (78.87%)	56.89% (74.38%)	62.02% (66.86%)	65.13% (81.60%)	57.29% (74.09%)	51.29% (75.89%)	86.57% (75.98%)

次点のRMSE 1.4314がこれ。狙いが悪いのかの判断に困ってます。もう少し粘ってみる価値があるのかがねぇ。このシリーズの新馬戦用はこれまで１回のみしかしてないけど、RMSE 1.7345で、

329R	1点	芝(214R)	ダート(115R)	8頭以下(31R)	9～12頭(91R)	13頭以上(207R)	多点
単勝	19.45% (67.26%)	21.96% (80.05%)	14.78% (43.48%)	32.26% (81.29%)	21.98% (64.62%)	16.43% (66.33%)	44.38% (60.75%)
複勝	51.67% (91.12%)	56.07% (93.50%)	43.48% (86.70%)	74.19% (95.48%)	54.95% (95.05%)	46.86% (88.74%)	83.89% (77.54%)
枠連	10.07% (71.29%)	14.20% (105.68%)	3.67% (17.98%)	-- (--)	10.99% (71.87%)	8.70% (64.15%)	18.35% (52.59%)
馬連	7.90% (72.25%)	11.21% (105.37%)	1.74% (10.61%)	25.81% (80.00%)	9.89% (159.56%)	4.35% (32.71%)	15.20% (44.27%)
ワイド	20.67% (94.92%)	25.23% (83.64%)	12.17% (115.91%)	51.61% (85.81%)	23.08% (89.12%)	14.98% (98.84%)	38.60% (81.04%)
馬単	3.95% (33.13%)	5.61% (45.56%)	0.87% (10.00%)	12.90% (50.00%)	3.30% (24.29%)	2.90% (34.49%)	15.20% (36.49%)
三連複	3.65% (45.65%)	5.61% (70.19%)	0.00% (0.00%)	25.81% (115.48%)	3.30% (34.40%)	0.48% (40.14%)	10.94% (55.08%)
三連単	0.61% (4.77%)	0.93% (7.34%)	0.00% (0.00%)	6.45% (50.65%)	0.00% (0.00%)	0.00% (0.00%)	10.94% (40.82%)
総合	52.28% (59.83%)	57.01% (73.06%)	43.48% (35.70%)	77.42% (79.82%)	54.95% (67.36%)	47.34% (53.18%)	84.50% (48.26%)

これはこれで微妙な出来。まあ、１回のみなので、もう少しやれば化けるかも?

何にしても、どうするのが良いのかは手探りなので時間が掛かっても下手な妥協はしたくないね。