先月更新来てたModel Builderでここの所は学習させてます。以前は結構頻繁にエラーが出て、トレーニング番号が飛んでたのですが、今回の更新後はゼロではないけど、随分と減りました。例えば今やっている通常用24時間学習なんですが、ここまで12時間程度で107回程終わってますが、98番が飛んでるだけです。まあ、だからといって良いものが出るのかは別。
通常用があまりにも良いものが出ないので、気分転換で新馬戦用も学習させましたが、これまでの最適RMSE 1.6720を超えるものは10時間学習7回やっても超えられなかった。
今回の最適RMSEは1.6788。1.6720のモデルは8.6MBでこちらは3.6MBと半分以下ですが、試しに検証させると
| 228R | 1点 | 芝(157R) | ダート(71R) | 8頭以下(26R) | 9～12頭(70R) | 13頭以上(132R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 21.05% (82.46%) |
24.20% (99.04%) |
14.08% (45.77%) |
30.77% (80.38%) |
21.43% (65.57%) |
18.94% (91.82%) |
47.37% (77.02%) |
| 複勝 | 50.88% (85.48%) |
55.41% (94.08%) |
40.85% (66.48%) |
61.54% (78.46%) |
48.57% (86.71%) |
50.00% (86.21%) |
83.33% (78.73%) |
| 枠連 | 8.70% (78.21%) |
10.17% (106.27%) |
6.06% (28.03%) |
-- (--) |
5.71% (85.14%) |
9.09% (63.86%) |
22.83% (73.34%) |
| 馬連 | 6.58% (110.18%) |
8.28% (152.42%) |
2.82% (16.76%) |
11.54% (52.31%) |
4.29% (78.71%) |
6.82% (138.26%) |
18.86% (88.74%) |
| ワイド | 18.86% (89.52%) |
22.93% (108.60%) |
9.86% (47.32%) |
46.15% (77.31%) |
15.71% (66.71%) |
15.15% (104.02%) |
37.72% (79.02%) |
| 馬単 | 3.51% (181.18%) |
5.10% (263.12%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
2.86% (122.29%) |
4.55% (248.11%) |
18.86% (85.71%) |
| 三連複 | 4.39% (125.39%) |
4.46% (152.61%) |
4.23% (65.21%) |
15.38% (92.69%) |
2.86% (50.43%) |
3.03% (171.59%) |
12.28% (114.90%) |
| 三連単 | 0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
12.28% (87.01%) |
| 総合 | 51.75% (94.44%) |
56.69% (122.52%) |
40.85% (33.75%) |
69.23% (54.45%) |
48.57% (69.45%) |
50.00% (112.98%) |
83.33% (86.99%) |
予想以上に悪くない。まあ、3連単が全滅なのはあれですが、RMSE 1.6720の
| 228R | 1点 | 芝(157R) | ダート(71R) | 8頭以下(26R) | 9～12頭(70R) | 13頭以上(132R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 23.68% (105.22%) |
26.11% (122.93%) |
18.31% (66.06%) |
38.46% (87.31%) |
28.57% (97.71%) |
18.18% (112.73%) |
48.25% (73.71%) |
| 複勝 | 49.56% (91.49%) |
52.87% (87.96%) |
42.25% (99.30%) |
65.38% (82.69%) |
57.14% (84.29%) |
42.42% (97.05%) |
85.09% (89.34%) |
| 枠連 | 8.15% (57.77%) |
10.17% (77.97%) |
4.55% (21.67%) |
-- (--) |
7.14% (52.43%) |
7.58% (52.73%) |
21.20% (76.68%) |
| 馬連 | 5.26% (28.90%) |
5.73% (30.51%) |
4.23% (25.35%) |
7.69% (16.15%) |
5.71% (32.29%) |
4.55% (29.62%) |
18.86% (87.34%) |
| ワイド | 19.30% (120.18%) |
21.02% (73.63%) |
15.49% (223.10%) |
34.62% (61.15%) |
22.86% (82.14%) |
14.39% (151.97%) |
44.30% (102.47%) |
| 馬単 | 3.51% (34.43%) |
4.46% (44.01%) |
1.41% (13.24%) |
3.85% (13.85%) |
5.71% (54.29%) |
2.27% (27.95%) |
18.86% (84.28%) |
| 三連複 | 3.51% (62.32%) |
5.10% (90.51%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
15.38% (55.77%) |
4.29% (65.71%) |
0.76% (61.82%) |
13.16% (66.43%) |
| 三連単 | 0.88% (177.41%) |
1.27% (257.64%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
1.43% (63.86%) |
0.76% (272.58%) |
13.16% (58.17%) |
| 総合 | 51.32% (85.38%) |
55.41% (98.79%) |
42.25% (56.39%) |
69.23% (45.27%) |
58.57% (66.59%) |
43.94% (100.80%) |
85.09% (70.44%) |
と比べても甲乙つけがたい感じではあります。
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