昨日のWindows Updateによる強制再起動から新馬専用10時間学習再度走らせて最適RMSE 1.6720はこれまで最高で、モデル自体は8.6MBとコンパクトなものですが
| 220R | 1点 | 芝(153R) | ダート(67R) | 8頭以下(26R) | 9～12頭(69R) | 13頭以上(125R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 24.09% (108.18%) |
26.80% (126.14%) |
17.91% (67.16%) |
38.46% (87.31%) |
28.99% (99.13%) |
18.40% (117.52%) |
48.64% (75.12%) |
| 複勝 | 50.91% (94.27%) |
54.25% (90.26%) |
43.28% (103.43%) |
65.38% (82.69%) |
57.97% (85.51%) |
44.00% (101.52%) |
85.91% (90.88%) |
| 枠連 | 8.52% (60.40%) |
10.53% (80.70%) |
4.84% (23.06%) |
-- (--) |
7.25% (53.19%) |
8.00% (55.68%) |
21.59% (78.34%) |
| 馬連 | 5.45% (29.95%) |
5.88% (31.31%) |
4.48% (26.87%) |
7.69% (16.15%) |
5.80% (32.75%) |
4.80% (31.28%) |
19.09% (88.92%) |
| ワイド | 20.00% (124.55%) |
21.57% (75.56%) |
16.42% (236.42%) |
34.62% (61.15%) |
23.19% (83.33%) |
15.20% (160.48%) |
44.55% (104.35%) |
| 馬単 | 3.64% (35.68%) |
4.58% (45.16%) |
1.49% (14.03%) |
3.85% (13.85%) |
5.80% (55.07%) |
2.40% (29.52%) |
19.09% (85.92%) |
| 三連複 | 3.64% (64.59%) |
5.23% (92.88%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
15.38% (55.77%) |
4.35% (66.67%) |
0.80% (65.28%) |
13.64% (68.84%) |
| 三連単 | 0.91% (183.86%) |
1.31% (264.38%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
1.45% (64.78%) |
0.80% (287.84%) |
13.64% (60.28%) |
| 総合 | 52.73% (88.39%) |
56.86% (101.46%) |
43.28% (59.21%) |
69.23% (45.27%) |
59.42% (67.55%) |
45.60% (106.14%) |
85.91% (72.37%) |
これ大分良い感じだと思う。実はその後もう一度試すもRMSE 1.7538で
| 220R | 1点 | 芝(153R) | ダート(67R) | 8頭以下(26R) | 9～12頭(69R) | 13頭以上(125R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 17.73% (71.82%) |
16.99% (61.50%) |
19.40% (95.37%) |
30.77% (93.08%) |
17.39% (52.46%) |
15.20% (78.08%) |
46.82% (85.47%) |
| 複勝 | 41.82% (79.45%) |
41.83% (60.65%) |
41.79% (122.39%) |
57.69% (75.00%) |
43.48% (58.84%) |
37.60% (91.76%) |
81.36% (78.21%) |
| 枠連 | 11.36% (62.10%) |
14.91% (76.32%) |
4.84% (35.97%) |
-- (--) |
13.04% (54.64%) |
8.80% (57.28%) |
22.16% (81.19%) |
| 馬連 | 6.36% (70.86%) |
7.19% (68.95%) |
4.48% (75.22%) |
7.69% (78.85%) |
10.14% (43.33%) |
4.00% (84.40%) |
16.82% (87.05%) |
| ワイド | 18.18% (82.45%) |
20.26% (63.73%) |
13.43% (125.22%) |
38.46% (91.54%) |
20.29% (53.62%) |
12.80% (96.48%) |
34.09% (63.36%) |
| 馬単 | 3.18% (29.32%) |
3.92% (29.74%) |
1.49% (28.36%) |
7.69% (141.15%) |
5.80% (31.30%) |
0.80% (4.96%) |
16.82% (86.66%) |
| 三連複 | 3.18% (46.18%) |
3.92% (24.97%) |
1.49% (94.63%) |
7.69% (22.69%) |
4.35% (35.80%) |
1.60% (56.80%) |
13.18% (102.65%) |
| 三連単 | 0.45% (10.77%) |
0.65% (15.49%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.80% (18.96%) |
13.18% (78.40%) |
| 総合 | 45.00% (56.48%) |
45.75% (49.31%) |
43.28% (72.49%) |
65.38% (71.76%) |
46.38% (41.25%) |
40.00% (61.09%) |
81.36% (81.60%) |
と、流石に連続で良いモデルは得られませんでした。まあ、↑のモデルで新馬戦用は一旦として、通常用に行きます。
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