2025/09/09

順位予想を10時間Model Builderで

ここまでの新馬戦用と通常用から順位予想学習用CSV出力を昨夜しました。4時間半程度掛かりましたが、今朝出勤前にModel Builderで10時間学習スタートしておきました。理由は何ともですが、これまでより随分と良い感じのRMSE 2.6496って事で検証してみました。

720R 1点 芝(411R) ダート(287R) 障害(22R) 8頭以下(82R) 9~12頭(211R) 13頭以上(427R) 多点
単勝 21.81%
(87.12%)
19.95%
(68.13%)
23.69%
(113.69%)
31.82%
(95.45%)
32.93%
(79.76%)
24.17%
(91.61%)
18.50%
(86.32%)
53.19%
(83.13%)
複勝 51.67%
(88.61%)
49.64%
(85.35%)
54.01%
(92.37%)
59.09%
(100.45%)
62.20%
(85.61%)
57.35%
(94.03%)
46.84%
(86.51%)
86.11%
(80.72%)
枠連 12.82%
(98.13%)
12.42%
(94.65%)
12.93%
(103.46%)
18.75%
(78.75%)
--
(--)
18.96%
(125.73%)
8.43%
(74.15%)
24.28%
(72.87%)
馬連 10.69%
(92.24%)
10.22%
(84.55%)
11.15%
(103.10%)
13.64%
(94.09%)
21.95%
(85.98%)
15.64%
(123.27%)
6.09%
(78.10%)
22.08%
(72.27%)
ワイド 20.69%
(78.36%)
19.95%
(70.73%)
21.25%
(87.00%)
27.27%
(108.18%)
42.68%
(74.76%)
30.33%
(127.49%)
11.71%
(54.78%)
42.08%
(78.95%)
馬単 4.58%
(73.71%)
4.87%
(61.34%)
3.83%
(83.66%)
9.09%
(175.00%)
10.98%
(95.37%)
7.11%
(117.11%)
2.11%
(48.10%)
22.08%
(69.53%)
三連複 6.53%
(72.93%)
7.06%
(59.27%)
5.23%
(92.65%)
13.64%
(70.91%)
19.51%
(58.17%)
7.11%
(78.20%)
3.75%
(73.16%)
15.97%
(75.64%)
三連単 1.25%
(68.65%)
1.95%
(84.21%)
0.35%
(51.64%)
0.00%
(0.00%)
4.88%
(119.15%)
1.42%
(78.77%)
0.47%
(53.96%)
15.97%
(76.17%)
総合 53.47%
(82.12%)
51.09%
(75.46%)
56.10%
(90.81%)
63.64%
(90.76%)
70.73%
(85.54%)
58.77%
(104.53%)
47.54%
(69.39%)
86.53%
(75.79%)

まあ、もう少しな気もするけど、取敢えず、現状が悪い状態だと思うので少しでも改善されればって事でさらだの新バージョンリリース準備します。

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