ここまでは、新馬戦用のモデルは学習データが24MB程度なので、本来の10分程度からちょっと余裕をもって１時間で行ってきました。今回まあ、一応念のためって事でもないんですが、18,000秒なんで5倍の５時間行った訳ですが、最適RMSE 1.9636で
| 45R | 1点 | 芝(19R) | ダート(26R) | 8頭以下(0R) | 9～12頭(3R) | 13頭以上(42R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 15.56% (73.78%) |
10.53% (41.58%) |
19.23% (97.31%) |
-- (--) |
33.33% (116.67%) |
14.29% (70.71%) |
42.22% (81.85%) |
| 複勝 | 35.56% (62.22%) |
21.05% (32.63%) |
46.15% (83.85%) |
-- (--) |
33.33% (46.67%) |
35.71% (63.33%) |
71.11% (78.07%) |
| 枠連 | 11.11% (150.00%) |
10.53% (125.26%) |
11.54% (168.08%) |
-- (--) |
33.33% (113.33%) |
9.52% (152.62%) |
22.22% (87.75%) |
| 馬連 | 6.67% (392.00%) |
5.26% (44.74%) |
7.69% (645.77%) |
-- (--) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
7.14% (420.00%) |
15.56% (256.30%) |
| ワイド | 11.11% (190.44%) |
5.26% (21.05%) |
15.38% (314.23%) |
-- (--) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
11.90% (204.05%) |
22.22% (180.81%) |
| 馬単 | 4.44% (467.78%) |
5.26% (106.84%) |
3.85% (731.54%) |
-- (--) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
4.76% (501.19%) |
15.56% (202.59%) |
| 三連複 | 6.67% (1,054.89%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
11.54% (1,825.77%) |
-- (--) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
7.14% (1,130.24%) |
6.67% (263.72%) |
| 三連単 | 2.22% (4,749.56%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
3.85% (8,220.38%) |
-- (--) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
2.38% (5,088.81%) |
6.67% (305.36%) |
| 総合 | 37.78% (892.58%) |
26.32% (46.51%) |
46.15% (1,510.87%) |
-- (--) |
33.33% (34.58%) |
38.10% (953.87%) |
71.11% (238.24%) |
とまあね、偶々ってのもあるかもですがなかなか魅力的なものになったのかも? それでも、たまたま大きいのが拾えたからって感じも否めません。単勝15%、複勝35%は決して良い訳ではないですよね。
ただね、あくまでもしばらくってか後３カ月程度後の７月にならないと今年の新馬戦は行われないので、そこまでにはまだ時間あるのでもう少し学習させてみるかもですが、取敢えず、通常用の良いのが出来て順位予測も学習させたら次のバージョンをリリースしようと思います。
追記 2025.3.12 5:59
先程終わった24時間の通常用は最適RMSE 1.3971で
| 483R | 1点 | 芝(201R) | ダート(261R) | 障害(21R) | 8頭以下(15R) | 9～12頭(102R) | 13頭以上(366R) | 多点 |
| 単勝 | 19.25% (70.23%) |
11.94% (59.40%) |
24.90% (80.73%) |
19.05% (43.33%) |
33.33% (132.67%) |
22.55% (93.14%) |
17.76% (61.28%) |
48.45% (77.16%) |
| 複勝 | 49.90% (87.12%) |
41.29% (75.62%) |
55.17% (95.67%) |
66.67% (90.95%) |
60.00% (89.33%) |
60.78% (93.92%) |
46.45% (85.14%) |
89.23% (88.16%) |
| 枠連 | 11.04% (73.66%) |
8.20% (64.10%) |
12.65% (63.28%) |
17.65% (331.18%) |
-- (--) |
13.73% (129.71%) |
9.84% (55.03%) |
26.27% (82.03%) |
| 馬連 | 5.80% (42.88%) |
2.99% (30.10%) |
7.28% (37.28%) |
14.29% (234.76%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
8.82% (96.76%) |
5.19% (29.62%) |
18.22% (72.35%) |
| ワイド | 18.84% (79.98%) |
13.93% (64.03%) |
21.84% (89.58%) |
28.57% (113.33%) |
26.67% (82.00%) |
25.49% (90.98%) |
16.67% (76.83%) |
40.17% (82.50%) |
| 馬単 | 3.52% (41.24%) |
1.49% (31.19%) |
4.98% (48.66%) |
4.76% (45.24%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
4.90% (73.73%) |
3.28% (33.88%) |
18.22% (68.53%) |
| 三連複 | 4.55% (69.59%) |
2.49% (66.42%) |
6.13% (75.36%) |
4.76% (28.10%) |
6.67% (36.00%) |
6.86% (65.59%) |
3.83% (72.08%) |
13.25% (79.86%) |
| 三連単 | 0.62% (11.93%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
1.15% (22.07%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.00% (0.00%) |
0.82% (15.74%) |
13.25% (83.79%) |
| 総合 | 51.14% (59.47%) |
43.28% (48.69%) |
55.94% (64.08%) |
66.67% (105.49%) |
66.67% (48.57%) |
61.76% (80.48%) |
47.54% (53.70%) |
89.65% (80.56%) |
上見たらきり無いけど、大分良い感じになってきた。欲を言うともうちょっとほんの少しで良いんだけどなぁ😓
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